Predictions and promises monitor

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Aleksey Pilko

Historian, political scientist (Russia)

Predictions
5
Verified
0
Came true
*
Complex
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Confident
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Aleksey Pilko

If there is no Turkish-American deal regarding the Syrian Kurds, there will be no serious large-scale military operation by Turkey against the Kurds.
Expected
#Turkey #Syria #Kurds
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

I think the conflict in Ukraine will not end by spring or summer. I believe we will see fighting throughout 2025. A likely timeframe for the end of the conflict in Ukraine would be 2026-2027.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

And if ATACMS and Storm Shadow strikes on Russian territory continue from that side, I think there will be a demonstrative strike with an Oreshnik missile on a NATO base.
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

I think Russia will soon officially recognize the Taliban as the legitimate government of Afghanistan.
Expected
#Afghanistan #Russia
ru → en

Aleksey Pilko

We'll take the risk of making a prediction. Most likely, there will be a negative response to all the points of the plan. The West will continue to pursue the same political line on Ukraine as before. Ukraine is needed as a proxy tool for the war against Russia, not as an asset for which the West would be willing to directly engage in conflict with Russia at the risk of nuclear war. Referring to Zelensky's Victory Plan.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en