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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Belarus

Authors
37
Predictions
53
Verified
10
Came true
50%
Complex
60%
Confident
50%

Leonid Volkov

Lukashenko will show that he secured 90% of the vote. In the Belarusian presidential election in January 2025.
Almost came true January 27, 2025
#Lukashenko #Belarus #Elections
ru → en

Alexander Friedman

I think Lukashenko’s minimum goal is to show a better result than Putin did in his elections, meaning it has to be over 87%. I believe he will even aim for 90%, and I think they will easily fabricate that 90% for him without much trouble.
Almost came true January 27, 2025
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

The northern branch is still operating, through Belarus, Poland, and Germany... it will eventually die out sooner or later by the end of the year. About the northern branch of the Druzhba oil pipeline.
Almost came true December 31, 2024
#Russia #Belarus #Germany #Poland #Oil #Economy
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

I state, with full responsibility, that no later than September of this year, nuclear strikes will be launched from Belarus against Lithuania and Poland if the West does not take preventive actions in this regard.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#Nuclear weapons #Belarus #Poland #Lithuania
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I think they definitely won't reach an agreement there... There is no benefit for Ukraine in this. About the transportation of grain from Ukraine through Belarus.
Completely came true December 10, 2023
#Ukraine #Belarus
ru → en

Andrey Karaulov

Lukashenko will never pardon Sofia Sapega; moreover, she will serve her full sentence, from bell to bell. Knowing Russia well, Lukashenko cannot—and will not—create a precedent. Let it be a lesson to the Russians! To run for office, criticize, incite, condemn... For all foreigners—double sentences!
Did not come true June 7, 2023
#Lukashenko #Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Mark Feygin

He is just pretending... he will not give weapons to the people... he will not give them weapons, he will not. Lukashenko will not provide Belarusians with weapons in the context of creating a people's militia
Completely came true December 31, 2022
#Belarus #Lukashenko
ru → en