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150 certainly won’t happen. I think not at any time. In response to the questions: "Will the ruble keep declining, and could we possibly see 150 in the New Year? Over what time period?"
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In the long run, the dollar will rise. I keep saying this. The dollar and the euro will rise. In relation to the ruble.
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I have a hypothesis about how they will strengthen the ruble... I think a two-step plan will be played out: 1) The Central Bank will sharply raise its interest rate—by as much as two points (which will ultimately undermine construction and hopes for GDP growth); 2) The government will secretly force several large exporters to sell more currency (I believe a total of at least ten billion). As a result, the dollar will drop from 100 to 90, and the President will proudly praise the Central Bank for its successful work in strengthening the ruble, which will be reported across all channels. After that, the exchange rates of the dollar and euro will gradually start to rise again...
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I don’t see any threat to the U.S. dollar in the coming decades, for sure. BRICS is not ready for this. In bilateral relations, they can afford, as they already do, to move away from the dollar in favor of national currencies, but this doesn’t mean that the dollar is seriously weakening on the global stage yet.
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There will likely be restrictions on transferring dollars within the territory Trump declares his own. However, I currently believe this will involve a united economic system comprising Canada, the U.S., and Mexico. Dollars, both cash and electronic, will only be transferable out of this system with very strict limitations.
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So far, I don't see any significant displacement of the dollar from its status as the world's primary reserve currency.
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I can confidently state that levels of 105, 110, 120, and even 130 are ahead. But I can’t say when it will happen. Rubles per Dollar.
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The ruble has settled above 100 per dollar, and I believe it will continue to weaken. Much will depend on the dynamics in the coming weeks.
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I think that by the end of the year, the Dollar will be worth more than the Euro.
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By the end of the year, I think—let’s make a prediction—I’ll say 120. The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by the end of 2025.
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I think it will gradually increase. I don’t know to what levels exactly; it will all depend on how much Putin spends and prints unbacked money. But that the dollar rate will rise is absolutely certain. The ruble-to-dollar exchange rate.
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There will be no 100 rubles to the dollar in Russia in a year. The exchange rate will be much worse.
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By August, 112-117. The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by August 2025.
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Based on my calculations, our group estimated that until May, the exchange rate will remain favorable at 105-107. The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia until May 2025.
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