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150 certainly won’t happen. I think not at any time. In response to the questions: "Will the ruble keep declining, and could we possibly see 150 in the New Year? Over what time period?"
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In the long run, the dollar will rise. I keep saying this. The dollar and the euro will rise. In relation to the ruble.
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I have a hypothesis about how they will strengthen the ruble... I think a two-step plan will be played out: 1) The Central Bank will sharply raise its interest rate—by as much as two points (which will ultimately undermine construction and hopes for GDP growth); 2) The government will secretly force several large exporters to sell more currency (I believe a total of at least ten billion). As a result, the dollar will drop from 100 to 90, and the President will proudly praise the Central Bank for its successful work in strengthening the ruble, which will be reported across all channels. After that, the exchange rates of the dollar and euro will gradually start to rise again...
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I think they will implement the digital ruble for transactions among so-called friendly countries
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In the long term, of course, the ruble is weakening—there’s no doubt about it.
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I can confidently state that levels of 105, 110, 120, and even 130 are ahead. But I can’t say when it will happen. Rubles per Dollar.
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The ruble has settled above 100 per dollar, and I believe it will continue to weaken. Much will depend on the dynamics in the coming weeks.
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By the end of the year, I think—let’s make a prediction—I’ll say 120. The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by the end of 2025.
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I think it will gradually increase. I don’t know to what levels exactly; it will all depend on how much Putin spends and prints unbacked money. But that the dollar rate will rise is absolutely certain. The ruble-to-dollar exchange rate.
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There will be no 100 rubles to the dollar in Russia in a year. The exchange rate will be much worse.
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There are no grounds for the ruble to strengthen. Only a trend toward weakening.
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By August, 112-117. The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia by August 2025.
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As of now, the way we see it, we won’t even reach a hundred by mid-summer. The ruble-to-dollar rate won’t reach 100 rubles per dollar by mid-summer.
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And then we’ll return to our familiar 95–100. The Finance Ministry knows better how far to devalue the ruble to make the budget work. But obviously, that will definitely happen. There’s no avoiding it.
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Based on my calculations, our group estimated that until May, the exchange rate will remain favorable at 105-107. The exchange rate of the Dollar in Russia until May 2025.
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A lot of factors came together. On the one hand, people wanted to get rid of foreign currency; on the other, there was lower demand for it from importers; and on yet another, there was a desire to bet on the decline of the dollar. And this is the result we got. But I think we’ll see a reversal in April — most likely that’s what will happen. We’ll see. In April, the ruble is expected to weaken against the dollar.
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