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Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleksiy Arestovych

Public figure (Ukraine)

Predictions
65
Verified
27
Came true
74%
Complex
44%
Confident
48%
Rating
6.2
All Expected Expected soon New results

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don’t think we will go through with it; I’m a skeptic in this regard. We will continue to escalate and provoke. Since the talks in "Great Yalta" are about reconciliation by the New Year and a ceasefire, I expect some major provocation from our side soon—something intended to disrupt these efforts. He implies that peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are being prepared for before the New Year, and that Ukraine will derail them with a provocation.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Russian forces are building up strike groups. They will attack along the entire front, from Zaporizhzhia to Kupiansk. A strategic offensive is being prepared, and it’s a matter of days.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

One way or another, the basis of the future agreement should be the Istanbul agreements... and in one form or another, they will most likely be implemented.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It's almost certain that the same level of aid as before won’t be there. Will there be any aid at all? In response to the question: "How likely is it that Ukraine will be left without U.S. financial aid at 2024 levels next year?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think there will be. Because there are not enough forces and resources. The answer to the question: 'Will there be mobilization in Russia or not?'
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

In America, there is an ideological civil war happening. A direct civil war. Whether it will escalate to a hot war, I don't think so. It may lead to clashes... But I don't believe that F-35s will shoot down F-35s; there is no such potential there.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

And now a new trend has emerged. They have started talking about space. About possible wars in space. I believe this is inevitable in the next 10-15 years.
Expected
#Space
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

And the EU and NATO will not accept us... Because the price for Ukraine's accession to the EU and NATO is a war between Russia and the EU and NATO, a large war. They will not go for it.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think that sooner or later, more likely sooner, Orban and his team will resign
Expected
#Hungary
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

This is real; moreover, it is inevitable. Regarding the transfer of Patriot systems to Ukraine from the USA.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Will they sink the ships? Under the Turkish flag. Protected by the fleet. Judging by the tone, he does not believe that Moscow will sink the ships after the 'exit' from the Grain Deal.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

The topic of the dirty bomb will die down. Context: In recent days, Russia has been actively claiming that Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty (radioactive) bomb.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

They will elevate Surovikin to a hero, and then he will die in an aviation accident or be shot by his wife in a domestic conflict. This is a reference to the fates of Generals Lebed and Rokhlin.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

But the Americans will not recognize it. Russia as a sponsor of terrorism.
Completely came true
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Well, I highly doubt it. Feigin: 'They may still hope to regain some lost territory in a day or two.' He is talking about the possible intentions of the Russian army to regain control of the lost territories in the Kharkiv region
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

The end of the year 2022 is officially December 31... but it seems to me that everything will happen earlier than December 31. Response to the remark: 'CNN, citing U.S. officials, stated that Ukraine plans to regain Kherson by the end of 2022.'
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

There will definitely be a moment in Russia when there will be a rally of 350,000 people near the Kremlin again
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't believe in the execution of the death sentence; to be honest, I don't really believe it. It's most likely blackmail. On the execution of the death sentence for captured Ukrainian servicemen (specifically the Azov fighters)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't really believe in some kind of massive strike on civilian targets; on military ones, yes... as always, they will miss and hit civilian ones. About the possible massive shelling of Ukraine by Russian troops on Ukraine's Independence Day.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

The pace, scale, and cost of this advance are such that they will not allow for the capture of Bakhmut, Siversk, and other cities... there will be no repeat of the fate of Lysychansk and Severodonetsk
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It won't happen. Commenting on the remark: "In an attempt to prevent the start of the de-occupation of Kherson, it will be part of this agreement (the grain deal)"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

In order to do anything with Odessa, one must first capture Mykolaiv. These prospects were dashed even at the beginning of the war... Now there are no chances of capturing it at all. Russia will not be able to take Mykolaiv.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Odessa is not threatened at all, I repeat, not at all. In order to do anything with Odessa, one must first capture Mykolaiv. These prospects were dashed even at the beginning of the war... Now there are no chances of capturing it at all... What threatens Odessa? There could be strikes on Odessa with cruise missiles. Russian troops will not storm Odessa.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

If our command allows for encirclement there... But I think they won't allow it... They definitely know what they are doing. The command of Ukraine will not allow the encirclement of Ukrainian troops in Lysychansk
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't think so. The response to the question of whether the death sentences of the so-called DPR (Donetsk People's Republic) will be carried out on British citizens.
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #United Kingdom
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

They definitely will not take Severodonetsk; they will not take the route. The comment refers to the question of whether the Russian troops will capture Severodonetsk by the end of the week (by June 12, 2022).
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

An insane statement... no one will ever sign in Budapest a second time... in any other city, but not in Budapest... they won't sign there, it's impossible. It could even be in Hungary, but in any other city. Regarding a possible meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Budapest.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Hungary
ru → en