Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleksiy Arestovych

Public figure (Ukraine)

Predictions
81
Verified
35
Came true
60%
Complex
54%
Confident
54%
5.39

Oleksiy Arestovych

Don't scare yourself with the Indo-Pakistani conflict. India and Pakistan have fought many times with each other... With a very high probability, this will be a series of border incidents, limited in scope to somewhere in Jammu and Kashmir, the disputed state.
Expected December 31, 2025
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It's almost certain that the same level of aid as before won’t be there. Will there be any aid at all? In response to the question: "How likely is it that Ukraine will be left without U.S. financial aid at 2024 levels next year?"
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think that sooner or later, more likely sooner, Orban and his team will resign
Expected December 31, 2025
#Hungary
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Lowering the conscription age and female mobilization are practically inevitable. Tentatively, if things continue this way, it may happen around October–November of this year. Is it true that there will be a female mobilization?
Expected November 30, 2025
#Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

My prediction is this: supplies will resume, but not in the same volume, and it'll be like a drop in the ocean. Meanwhile, Putin will escalate the air and ground campaigns against Ukraine. And following the results of the summer-autumn campaign, another proposal will follow, only this time it won't be for 4 regions, but 6.
Expected October 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

75 to 25. A 75% chance that the campaign will continue, the war will go on; and a 25% chance that Trump will achieve some sort of truce. In response to the question: "If nothing changes, what problems are we facing this summer?"
Expected July 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I can say for my part that you can have no doubt about the Tomahawks; the question is how effective they will be, when, and how many. As for Tomahawks, this is a more than realistic scenario. The US will transfer Tomahawks to Ukraine.
Expected February 10, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #Russia
ru → en