Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleksiy Arestovych

Public figure (Ukraine)

Predictions
65
Verified
27
Came true
74%
Complex
44%
Confident
48%
Rating
6.2

Oleksiy Arestovych

It will take at least 2-3 months. Response to the question: "Alexey, in your opinion, how quickly will the Israeli army deal with Hamas?"
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

This is the last success of the Russian army on the territory of Ukraine... a major one, meaning when a city is captured. About Lysychansk.
Did not come true April 1, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't think they will exclude it. Russia from the G20 in 2022
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#Russia #G20
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Will they sink the ships? Under the Turkish flag. Protected by the fleet. Judging by the tone, he does not believe that Moscow will sink the ships after the 'exit' from the Grain Deal.
Completely came true November 1, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I do not see any protracted war; the maximum I foresee, in the worst-case scenario, is that it will all end by the summer of next year.
Did not come true September 30, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

But the Americans will not recognize it. Russia as a sponsor of terrorism.
Completely came true September 14, 2023
#Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't believe in a ceasefire at all. I just don't believe in any ceasefire whatsoever. About a possible ceasefire during the "grain deal".
Completely came true July 21, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

This is real; moreover, it is inevitable. Regarding the transfer of Patriot systems to Ukraine from the USA.
Completely came true April 19, 2023
#War in Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

The topic of the dirty bomb will die down. Context: In recent days, Russia has been actively claiming that Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty (radioactive) bomb.
Completely came true November 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

The end of the year 2022 is officially December 31... but it seems to me that everything will happen earlier than December 31. Response to the remark: 'CNN, citing U.S. officials, stated that Ukraine plans to regain Kherson by the end of 2022.'
Completely came true November 10, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Well, I highly doubt it. Feigin: 'They may still hope to regain some lost territory in a day or two.' He is talking about the possible intentions of the Russian army to regain control of the lost territories in the Kharkiv region
Completely came true September 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't think so. The response to the question of whether the death sentences of the so-called DPR (Donetsk People's Republic) will be carried out on British citizens.
Completely came true September 21, 2022
#War in Ukraine #United Kingdom
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It does not threaten the Sumy residents on the ground... No Russian troops will go there in the near future. In the Sumy region of Ukraine.
Completely came true August 28, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't really believe in some kind of massive strike on civilian targets; on military ones, yes... as always, they will miss and hit civilian ones. About the possible massive shelling of Ukraine by Russian troops on Ukraine's Independence Day.
Completely came true August 24, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

If our command allows for encirclement there... But I think they won't allow it... They definitely know what they are doing. The command of Ukraine will not allow the encirclement of Ukrainian troops in Lysychansk
Completely came true July 3, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

They definitely will not take Severodonetsk; they will not take the route. The comment refers to the question of whether the Russian troops will capture Severodonetsk by the end of the week (by June 12, 2022).
Completely came true June 12, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

The pace, scale, and cost of this advance are such that they will not allow for the capture of Bakhmut, Siversk, and other cities... there will be no repeat of the fate of Lysychansk and Severodonetsk
Did not come true May 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

This is an offensive air operation, the invasion of four Russian armies that they have formed at our borders, the siege of Kyiv, the attempt to encircle the troops in the ATO and the JFO, the breakthrough through the Crimean isthmus, the advance to the Kakhovka Reservoir to supply water to Crimea, the offensive from the territory of Belarus, the creation of new people's republics, sabotage actions, strikes on critical infrastructure, and airborne assaults. This is what a full-scale war looks like. And the probability of it is 99%. 2021-2022. The answer to the question: "What can be a full-scale war with Russia?"
Completely came true February 24, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en