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Predictions and promises monitor

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Igor Yakovenko

Journalist, public figure (Russia)

Predictions
75
Verified
27
Came true
67%
Complex
33%
Confident
33%
Rating
5.7
All Expected Expected soon New results

Igor Yakovenko

There will be no peace in the near future. At least, I’ll be very glad if I’m wrong. Speaking about a truce between Ukraine and Russia.
Completely came true February 28, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Elections in Germany are coming up, and most likely Merz will win, as he is undoubtedly much more decisive.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think there will most likely be a call or some kind of conversation, or perhaps even a meeting... between Trump and Putin before the inauguration.
Did not come true January 20, 2025
#Trump #Putin #Russia #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

After being elected, it's not customary for American presidents to take any significant actions that lead to specific consequences. So, the likelihood of any serious moves from Biden was already low, and now it’s almost approaching zero.
Completely came true January 20, 2025
#Biden #USA #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

So it’s most likely that this decision, if it is made—and I think it will be—will be made in February of next year. Talking about U.S. authorization for Ukraine to strike Russian territory with long-range missiles.
Almost came true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

It’s clear that Biden won’t be visiting Europe before the end of his term. At least, the likelihood of that happening is close to zero.
Did not come true October 18, 2024
#Biden #USA #Europe
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Most likely, this will happen today, so I will cautiously say that this sensational news will occur. Today, Antony Blinken is arriving in Kyiv... The USA will allow Ukraine to use American long-range weapons to strike at Russia.
Did not come true September 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

There is no chance that any of the Western leaders will say a word for Kara-Murza and that he will be freed - this is very unlikely... A swap is extremely unlikely. People like him are not exchanged. Neither Navalny, nor Kara-Murza, nor Yashin.
Did not come true August 1, 2024
#Russia #USA #United Kingdom
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Putin will not release Navalny... there are two people that Putin will not let go. I understand that I could be wrong, but nonetheless, I have been following this for a long time. These are two personal enemies of Putin: Alexei Navalny and Vladimir Kara-Murza.
Partially came true August 1, 2024
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Most likely... they will return an urn with the ashes. Context: After Alexei Navalny's death, his body is not being released to relatives for a long time.
Did not come true February 24, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

This is my prediction: he will not be allowed... My prediction is that it is most likely that Nadezhdin will be removed from the race. Boris Nadezhdin will not be allowed to participate in the presidential elections.
Completely came true February 21, 2024
#Russia #2024 Russian presidential election #Elections
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

He is unlikely to expect that due to his attacks, Putin will remove Beglov. This is out of the question... Beglov is quite satisfactory to Putin. And of course, under such pressure, Beglov will never be dismissed... Under no circumstances will Prigozhin's actions achieve success.
Completely came true September 30, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I think that Kadyrov will not leave. Commenting on Kadyrov's statement that he has been sitting in his position for too long.
Completely came true September 3, 2023
#Kadyrov #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

There are no chances that a complete fuel energy embargo will be imposed in the foreseeable future, even in relation to the West.
Completely came true August 20, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

And he will continue the mobilization... and then in December, it’s absolutely clear that another round of mobilization will begin.
Did not come true February 1, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Despite the predictions that it will end this year, I think that this will not happen. About the end of the war in Ukraine.
Completely came true December 31, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I believe that Putin's trip to Bali is extremely unlikely. At the G20.
Completely came true November 17, 2022
#Putin #G20 #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I am not sure that there will be very fierce street battles... a significant number of occupiers will prefer to leave... Kherson is likely to be de-occupied in the coming days.
Completely came true November 10, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

Recently, Turchak stated that the referendums will be postponed to November 4, which means that they will not take place.
Did not come true September 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Igor Yakovenko

I am very afraid that they will give it. Visa for Lavrov to participate in the UN General Assembly.
Completely came true September 13, 2022
#Russia #UN
ru → en