Predictions and promises monitor

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Michael Nacke

Blogger (Russia)

Predictions
39
Verified
12
Came true
50%
Complex
50%
Confident
42%
Rating
5.15

Michael Nacke

I have a feeling that before November, we’ll see something interesting from Ukraine. I don’t want to speculate too much; I’m not really into sharing vibes. I don’t think vibe-based analysis holds much value. Analysis should be based on arguments and facts, not vibes... I expect some offensive actions from Ukraine before November of this year. And the F-16s will surely be able to support these actions.
Did not come true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

As for the Kursk region, I expect an intensification of fighting there in October, because it's clear that Russia would want to push out Ukrainian forces, especially by November.
Almost came true October 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The advisor to the acting governor of the Kursk region has urged all residents of Rylsk to evacuate. He predicts that this city will face the same fate as Sudzha. This means that a breakthrough by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is not far off.
Did not come true October 23, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The so-called 'bangs' are occurring in Voronezh, Belgorod, and many other regions. And apparently, there will be more of this
Completely came true August 15, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Because the Crimean Bridge was recently fully repaired. And this means that in the very near future, new strikes will be carried out on it, which will render it inoperable for cargo transport.
Did not come true July 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

It's hard for me to imagine. That Russia will leave the northern part of the Luhansk region in exchange for the launch of the ammonia pipeline.
Cannot be verified June 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Everything will be fine there. They will join. They will all come to an agreement. Sweden will join NATO.
Completely came true March 7, 2024
#NATO #Sweden #Turkey
ru → en

Michael Nacke

In my feeling, YouTube has about a day or two left... they will completely shut it down for all of us. In Russia.
Did not come true December 31, 2022
#Russia #Internet #Censorship
ru → en

Michael Nacke

With a high probability, it will be openly carried out in one form or another. I hope I'm wrong. About mobilization in Russia
Completely came true September 21, 2022
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en