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Scholz is done; there’s no Scholz anymore—he’s ruined everything. He won’t be in the next government. There will be early elections now. We will never hear his name again.
#Germany

We've seen, and are still seeing, a lot of discussion about U.S. aid under the PDA, where roughly $5.8 billion is supposedly frozen and will expire in October, blah blah blah. In reality, it won’t expire—everything will be extended, mark my words, screenshot this tweet. PDA = Presidential Drawdown Authority
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA

I do not for a second entertain the thought that Russia has any chance of taking Pokrovsk by the end of this year
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

...there isn't even the death penalty. They are currently discussing lifting the moratorium on it in Russia. I don't think they will do it.
#Russia

As far as I understand, the plan of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is to hold the Kursk region until the start of the negotiation process, which, as it seems to me, will begin in November after the American elections, regardless of their outcome. It is a very bold assumption on my part, and I am not ready to insist on it as some kind of forecast.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Remember the joy of the Z-channels from the strikes on Ukraine's civilian infrastructure. Very soon, it will be replaced by outrage and wailing from the strikes of ATACMS on Russian airfields. Today's shelling has brought this decision closer, with or without the approval of the United States.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

If the Ukrainian army really remains in the Kursk region and expands its presence, the Russian army will not be able to take Pokrovsk, and Donald Trump will lose. I think that in November, at the end of November, or at the beginning of December, there will be mobilization in Russia.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine #Trump #2024 United States presidential election

I no longer see a scenario in which Trump wins.
#Trump #2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections

I have a feeling that before November, we’ll see something interesting from Ukraine. I don’t want to speculate too much; I’m not really into sharing vibes. I don’t think vibe-based analysis holds much value. Analysis should be based on arguments and facts, not vibes... I expect some offensive actions from Ukraine before November of this year. And the F-16s will surely be able to support these actions.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

As for the Kursk region, I expect an intensification of fighting there in October, because it's clear that Russia would want to push out Ukrainian forces, especially by November.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

The advisor to the acting governor of the Kursk region has urged all residents of Rylsk to evacuate. He predicts that this city will face the same fate as Sudzha. This means that a breakthrough by the Ukrainian Armed Forces is not far off.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Just the entire North of Israel is being shelled by Hezbollah from Lebanon... And many said that this operation is inevitable. And apparently, it really will happen. Israel's operation in Lebanon.
#Israel #Lebanon

The so-called 'bangs' are occurring in Voronezh, Belgorod, and many other regions. And apparently, there will be more of this
#War in Ukraine #Russia

Because the Crimean Bridge was recently fully repaired. And this means that in the very near future, new strikes will be carried out on it, which will render it inoperable for cargo transport.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

It's hard for me to imagine. That Russia will leave the northern part of the Luhansk region in exchange for the launch of the ammonia pipeline.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Everything will be fine there. They will join. They will all come to an agreement. Sweden will join NATO.
#NATO #Sweden #Turkey

Boris Nadezhdin will certainly be denied. He will not be allowed to participate in the presidential elections of Russia.
#Russia #2024 Russian presidential election #Elections

The war will end next year
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

And I bet they won't block it. Russian troops will allow passage for grain exports.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Spoiler: The Sarmat will not be put into service in 2023
#Russia

In my feeling, YouTube has about a day or two left... they will completely shut it down for all of us. In Russia.
#Russia #Internet #Censorship

With a high probability, it will be openly carried out in one form or another. I hope I'm wrong. About mobilization in Russia
#Russia #War in Ukraine