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Michael Nacke

Blogger (Russia)

Predictions
44
Verified
20
Came true
60%
Complex
45%
Confident
50%
5.5

Michael Nacke

DeepState focuses on the situation in Zaporizhzhia—referring to a village on the western flank of the Pokrovsk direction, not the city of the same name, which Russian forces have not yet reached and most likely never will.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Putin has many problems. But the scenario he desires most is for the U.S. to stop helping Ukraine altogether. In that case, Putin expects the situation to become easier for him. At the same time, he’s probably ready to consider a freeze, but he wants the terms of the freeze to be as favorable to him as possible. Ideally, he would want all four regions that are now included in the Russian Constitution, including the cities of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia, which Ukraine will never agree to under any circumstances.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The election of Donald Trump will probably inevitably lead us to World War III.
Expected
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Michael Nacke

So far, current and former military personnel have not yet joined these confrontations. But I think that moment isn’t far off. And when that happens, a real bloodbath will begin... Even if the country’s leadership changes tomorrow, Russia withdraws troops from Ukraine, and so on, there will still be bloodshed—perhaps on a smaller scale, more controlled, but it will happen nonetheless. Maybe I’m wrong, and let’s hope that’s the case.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

In short, pay attention. Kadyrov declares blood vengeance, and very strange events begin to happen in Ingushetia or with individuals connected to Ingushetia. It seems Kadyrov will continue gaining momentum because no one is stopping or restraining him... The explosion in the Caucasus is not just looming on the horizon, it feels like the situation is already starting to detonate. I think it's becoming obvious to many. Figuratively speaking: "explosion" and "detonation" refer to the intensification of tensions, not literal physical events.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

It seems to me that Ukraine will become a weapons center in Europe after winning the war. Even now, a huge number of manufacturing facilities are being opened there... As far as I understand, underground factories are being built.
Expected
#Ukraine #Europe #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I consider this policy to be misguided. I believe that America misunderstands its own security. I think that the 2,500 Abrams tanks standing in the desert, which are idle, can simply be handed over to Ukraine without any thought, because this is the last war in which such tanks are used. If tanks are to be used further, they will be a completely different design, a completely different weaponry.
Expected
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Most likely, as soon as Leonid Nevzlin appears on European territory, where he used to love to travel, he will be arrested.
Expected
#Europe #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

My position has not changed since 2022. The moment NATO says that we are taking Ukraine and we are entering this conflict right now, closing the sky and so on, Russia will retreat, right at that moment, because Vladimir Putin always retreats before a force he considers greater than himself... Russia will not fight NATO now, because the forces are not comparable. Russia will be wiped out in an instant... As soon as NATO says that we are truly getting involved, Russia will withdraw its troops from Ukraine within a day
Expected
#Russia #NATO #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

The passivity of Russians... I wouldn't expect that when the Armed Forces of Ukraine enter the territory of Crimea, everyone will take up arms and start fighting
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I don't rule it out—in fact, I believe it's a very likely scenario—that we will see the United States involved in some kind of armed conflict, not in Ukraine, but near its own neighbors or somewhere else. I think it will happen. And I also think it will be a loud fiasco.
Expected December 31, 2029
#USA #Trump
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I am ready to bet money, or anything, that we will not see Leonid Nevzlin outside of Israel in the coming years.
Expected December 31, 2026
#Israel #Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

Nabiullina will likely be imprisoned soon, in my view.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Nacke

I think the surprise over North Koreans participating in the war and being used in combat roles will, by the middle of next year, become quite a common story. In other words, we’ll be watching plenty of videos of FPV drones taking down North Koreans.
Expected August 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #North Korea #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en