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Predictions and promises monitor

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Michael Sheitelman

Political technologist, blogger (Israel, Ukraine)

Predictions
41
Verified
12
Came true
58%
Complex
58%
Confident
17%
5.32

Michael Sheitelman

In any case, Alternative for Germany, according to my forecast, will gain a maximum of 22%. That’s how it seems to me, though I could be wrong.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia. Following the elections on October 26, 2024.
Partially came true January 31, 2025
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Here’s my prediction: one of these three figures—Orbán, Fico, or Elon Musk—will definitely make a statement in support of Putin within the next 24 hours or so. Not directly in support of Putin, but something along the lines of how we urgently need to negotiate with him now because look how formidable he is.
Almost came true November 22, 2024
#Putin
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

We have been discussing for several days, even a couple of weeks, whether we will be given permission to strike at the launch points of Russian aircraft, that is, airfields, possibly the launch points of ballistic missiles, meaning permission to strike deep into Russia with American, British, and French weapons... September 11, and it seems that everything will work out for us. Most likely, Ukraine will be given permission to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons.
Completely came true November 21, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Most likely, with Kamala Harris, though this is my very subjective opinion, things will be slightly better than with Biden. That is, if Kamala Harris becomes president, our life in Ukraine and our war will become just a bit easier than under Biden. We’ll receive a little more. She will be slightly more aggressive toward the Russian Federation, both diplomatically and in other areas.
Cannot be verified November 6, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #KamalaHarris
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Before the elections—before November 5th—we need more than just permission to hit some distant targets… By November 5th, when the U.S. elections take place, we need not just permission, but we need to hit something big, spectacularly, 2-3 times, to make some major impactful strikes… That’s just my prediction. By November 5th, Ukraine will carry out significant strikes on Russian territory using Western long-range weapons.
Did not come true November 5, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I would assume that most likely the Georgian Dream will lose the elections, and the opposition will win. In the parliamentary elections in Georgia on October 26, 2024.
Did not come true October 26, 2024
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

As of today, it's known that the Ramstein meeting on the 19th won't take place... It will be limited to a meeting between Biden, Scholz, and Steinmeier. However, Zelensky might unexpectedly show up there. For some reason, I believe that on the 19th we will see a meeting between Biden and Zelensky. It will likely take place in Germany. Everything we were supposed to see at Ramstein, we will probably see there instead.
Did not come true October 25, 2024
#Zelensky #Biden #Germany #Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

If they are recognized as a terrorist organization, and it seems to be heading that way. Wagner Group.
Completely came true December 31, 2023
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Most likely, victory will look like I said - the flight of the Russians. Answer to the question: 'What could the liberation of Kherson look like?'
Completely came true November 11, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en