Predictions and promises monitor

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Michael Sheitelman

Political technologist, blogger (Israel, Ukraine)

Predictions
31
Verified
8
Came true
38%
Complex
63%
Confident
13%
Rating
4.73

Michael Sheitelman

I don’t believe in Putin’s ability to negotiate. I believe that Trump will do all the work, that he will go through the entire process. Yes, he will formulate peace proposals. Yes, he will bring some representatives of Ukraine and Russia to the table—not the presidents, not Zelensky or Putin. And then Putin will start his sabotage. Because Putin has no intention of ending the war, and he doesn’t need any peace agreement.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

There will be a peace plan from the Americans, from Trump’s team. They will offer it to Putin. And then there are two scenarios: Putin more or less agrees, or he more or less refuses. I’m betting that he will more or less refuse, meaning I’m betting that there won’t be a truce in this format. But that’s just my guess.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

The way he’s proposing to fly to Mars is impossible because of cosmic radiation, and no human will make it to Mars. They just won’t make it—they’ll die; everyone will die from the cosmic radiation.
Expected
#Space #Science and technology
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It will remain occupied at first, but then we will definitely take it back, reclaim it, no question about it—there’s no other way. Sooner or later, Crimea will certainly be part of Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

The president is likely to be a former military officer. The next president of Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

BRICS won't last long; that's my prediction. I don't know how many more years it will survive, but it won't last long.
Expected
#BRICS
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I would assume that most likely the Georgian Dream will lose the elections, and the opposition will win. In the parliamentary elections in Georgia on October 26, 2024.
Did not come true
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia. Following the elections on October 26, 2024.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

He's about 50, Zaluzhny. I have a suspicion that he will be one of the main participants in the presidential elections that will take place right after the war. Zaluzhny will be a candidate in Ukraine's future presidential elections.
Expected
#Ukraine #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

As of today, it's known that the Ramstein meeting on the 19th won't take place... It will be limited to a meeting between Biden, Scholz, and Steinmeier. However, Zelensky might unexpectedly show up there. For some reason, I believe that on the 19th we will see a meeting between Biden and Zelensky. It will likely take place in Germany. Everything we were supposed to see at Ramstein, we will probably see there instead.
Did not come true
#Zelensky #Biden #Germany #Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

And amid the referendum in Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan is also searching for a location to build a new power plant... However, since a nuclear power plant costs $10-12 billion... It’s highly unlikely that Kyrgyzstan will have a nuclear power plant anytime soon.
Expected
#Kyrgyzstan
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Admit Ukraine into NATO without the occupied territories. This is about some sort of compromise that Ukraine, Russia, and NATO would need to sign. What is this compromise? … The military actions would stop along the current front line. After that, all of the territory controlled by Ukraine at this moment would be admitted into NATO. What is being proposed in this deal, which doesn’t yet exist? The proposal is this: you sign something like that with Russia, we’ll flood you with money, you’ll start building a prosperous Ukraine, join the European Union, and receive massive investments… in 20 years, Russia will collapse, and you’ll get your territory back. I believe none of this will work. A year from now, we’ll look back at all of this as something that didn’t happen.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #NATO
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Those 33 years of Ukraine's independence are not much. Another 40 years will pass, and we’ll see F-185s in our skies, capable of targeting a lone Russian standing in Red Square. Or maybe they won’t be F-series planes, but U-135s, our own Ukrainian aircraft. This means that in the future, Ukraine will have advanced weaponry, including state-of-the-art aircraft.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Sooner or later, this war will end only with the destruction of the state known as the Russian Federation. There will be no such state. There will be no such country.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Most likely, with Kamala Harris, though this is my very subjective opinion, things will be slightly better than with Biden. That is, if Kamala Harris becomes president, our life in Ukraine and our war will become just a bit easier than under Biden. We’ll receive a little more. She will be slightly more aggressive toward the Russian Federation, both diplomatically and in other areas.
Cannot be verified
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA #KamalaHarris
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don't believe that with Putin alive, with Putin who is free, there will be at least a ceasefire established; I'm not even talking about peace. Simply because our interests are directly opposed.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

No, there won’t be any strikes on Moscow. There won’t be any strikes on the city of Moscow with this American weaponry, because that would actually scare the Americans. Ukraine won’t strike Moscow with Western long-range weapons.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Before the elections—before November 5th—we need more than just permission to hit some distant targets… By November 5th, when the U.S. elections take place, we need not just permission, but we need to hit something big, spectacularly, 2-3 times, to make some major impactful strikes… That’s just my prediction. By November 5th, Ukraine will carry out significant strikes on Russian territory using Western long-range weapons.
Did not come true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

We have been discussing for several days, even a couple of weeks, whether we will be given permission to strike at the launch points of Russian aircraft, that is, airfields, possibly the launch points of ballistic missiles, meaning permission to strike deep into Russia with American, British, and French weapons... September 11, and it seems that everything will work out for us. Most likely, Ukraine will be given permission to strike deep into Russian territory with Western weapons.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Today is September 11, the World Day of Combating Terrorism. Such a holiday has not yet been established. But I believe that someday it will be.
Expected
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Ernst will be carried out feet first from this ORT, and that will be when he is 95 years old. This means that Konstantin Ernst will not be replaced as the head of the Russian 'First Channel'
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

But I don't believe that we will lose Putin due to health issues... I don't believe in our luck that he will die on his own. Apparently referring to the possibility during the war.
Expected
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

If they are recognized as a terrorist organization, and it seems to be heading that way. Wagner Group.
Completely came true
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

Most likely, victory will look like I said - the flight of the Russians. Answer to the question: 'What could the liberation of Kherson look like?'
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I don't believe that Russia will strike the nuclear power plant, blow up the nuclear power plant, or even allow any radiation to be released from this plant. About the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en