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#Oil

Authors
31
Predictions
59
Verified
22
Came true
64%
Complex
73%
Confident
50%

Vladimir Milov

Over the next year, we can forget about prices of \$70 for Russian export oil — that would mean Brent at \$80. That’s definitely not something we’re facing for now.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Russia #Economy of Russia
ru → en

Tatiana Mikhailova

Given that OPEC+ isn’t planning to cut production — in fact, they’re planning to increase it — the pressure is downward. I don’t think it will bounce back to the level it was at under the Trump presidency, no. In response to the question: "I understand that it’s impossible to predict oil prices, but still — what trend would you point to right now?"
Expected December 31, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Eventually, by the end of the year—or maybe even earlier, in the fall—these countries will make a final decision (I'm already quite sure of it): let’s stop limiting production altogether. Each country will produce as much oil as it wants, as much as it can. About OPEC
Expected December 31, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Eventually, by the end of the year—or maybe even earlier, in the fall—these countries will make a final decision (I'm already quite sure of it): let’s stop limiting production altogether. Each country will produce as much oil as it wants, as much as it can.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

Colleagues from the UAE asked what the average oil price would be this year. I boldly replied that it would be 68 dollars per barrel of Brent.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Ivan Yakovina

I speculate on what the next move by the United States might be: closing the Danish Straits, through which about 30-40% of Russia's oil and gas exports pass.
Expected December 31, 2025
#USA #Denmark #Russia #Oil #Economy
ru → en

Vladimir Milov

The price of oil will not rise. It will most likely decrease due to the obvious oversupply. This is because OPEC countries are eager to increase production and move beyond output quotas. If Trump has any influence here, it’s indirect.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Auslender

It seems to me that Trump will start by crashing oil prices, working to bring them down in order to take away Putin's main advantage—money.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Trump #Oil #Economy #Russia #USA
ru → en

Arti Green

The leverage in this war is in the hands of the President of the United States. If it’s Donald Trump, then oil prices will almost certainly drop significantly—one could even say they will collapse.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Trump #Oil #USA
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

Well done, you finally did something decisive without waiting for the United States. They will definitely join the sanctions against Russian oil exports, I'm sure—whether it's in September, October, or November, it doesn't matter, but they will join.
Expected December 20, 2025
#USA #Russia #European Union #Oil
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

The oil price cap should have been revised a long time ago. Sixty is already a completely outdated figure for the current market. It should have been lowered. But imagining that the G20 will now come together and decide to lower it from 60 to 45 — that’s unrealistic. There are already too many disagreements, too many conflicts, so it’s no longer possible to make it happen. Referring to the oil price cap for Russia.
Expected November 15, 2025
#Oil #Economy #Russia #Economy of Russia #G20
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

Tariffs on countries that consume Russian oil. India will, of course, be the first to suffer. I don't think these tariffs will be extended to China; that's my prediction. The Americans aren't going to quarrel with the Chinese over this right now.
Expected October 31, 2025
#USA #India #China #Trump #Economy #Oil #Russia
ru → en

Boris Aronshtein

I believe there are no fundamental reasons for the oil price to sharply drop again or, conversely, to stabilize. It seems to me that this price level is quite acceptable for American producers.
Expected September 30, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

This morning Brent was at 74... If the price keeps dropping, and the overall trend for the year, I think, is downward. It’s hard to predict, but for now, I don’t see any reason for a significant price increase. Talking about oil prices.
Expected September 23, 2025
#Oil #Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Vyacheslav Shiryaev

I’m not a Trump buff. But to ignore what Trump actually does—like when he drove oil prices down, and now they’ve been driven up again by an Iranian move—would be foolish. It won’t last long. Prices will fall sooner or later—most likely in early July, though we can’t give exact forecasts; it might be next week, or even this week. Once the confrontation starts to cool, Urals crude will drop below $60.
Expected July 23, 2025
#Oil #Economy
ru → en

Tatiana Mikhailova

Canada's primary export to the U.S. is oil. The U.S. operates oil refineries that process this oil to produce gasoline for the domestic market. A tariff on Canadian oil would immediately impact gasoline prices within the U.S. Gasoline prices in the U.S. will rise if tariffs on Canadian oil are imposed.
Expected June 30, 2025
#USA #Canada #Oil #Economy
ru → en