Predictions and promises monitor

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Bogdan Bakaleyko

Journalist (Russia)

Predictions
10
Verified
2
Came true
100%
Complex
50%
Confident
50%
6.36

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I don’t really believe that the EU and the U.S. will impose sanctions on liquefied natural gas from Russia, simply because the main company supplying LNG to Europe — Novatek — operates the Arctic LNG project in a consortium with a French company and a Chinese one.
Expected December 31, 2026
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy #European Union #France #China
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I think the pressure on Putin will increase, and he will feel it. I still don’t believe he’ll bend under that pressure... He needs to keep on fighting. The military budget shows no signs of shrinking. Digital draft notices have been activated... All in all, I don’t believe the war will end.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

Regarding China — and still, if they go for it (though it's hard for me to believe), if they take that step and make their yuan a bit or significantly stronger and higher.
Expected July 31, 2025
#Yuan #China
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

I get the impression that, in the end, Donald Trump will come to an agreement and won’t continue to pressure the world.
Expected July 31, 2025
#Trump #USA
ru → en

Bogdan Bakaleyko

And then we’ll return to our familiar 95–100. The Finance Ministry knows better how far to devalue the ruble to make the budget work. But obviously, that will definitely happen. There’s no avoiding it.
Expected July 31, 2025
#Ruble #Dollar #Economy #Economy of Russia #Russia
ru → en