Predictions and promises monitor

| About
en | ru

#Middle East

Authors
7
Predictions
8
Verified
0
Came true
*
Complex
*
Confident
*

Yevgeny Kiselyov

It's quite likely that another decade will pass, and Israel will no longer face the security issues it currently has. They will, of course, eliminate this menace—this form of radical Islamic terrorism. I believe that, in the end, the country will prevail and go on to live long and prosperously.
Expected
#Israel #Middle East
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

Most likely, it will all end up just being a freeze, as it has happened before. There will be some sort of middle ground compromise where Israeli forces, for example, will withdraw from most of Gaza, but may maintain a presence in a buffer zone to prevent new attacks by militants. The entire issue will be frozen under the pretext of restarting the negotiation process. I think this is the most realistic scenario right now. There will be a freeze in the war between Israel and Hamas.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Middle East
ru → en

Savik Shuster

Currently, there is not enough trust to say that it’s okay, even if there are 20 kilometers between us, that no one will shoot at each other. There is no confidence in that yet. I believe that sooner or later it will be achieved, perhaps in our lifetime, definitely in yours. The Israelis will understand that they live in an ocean of the Arab world, and one way or another, they need to live in harmony; otherwise, they won’t survive. Sooner or later, normalization of relations between Israel and the Arab world will be achieved, leading to peaceful coexistence.
Expected
#Israel #Middle East
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It’s clear that years of war lie ahead. And how happy Putin must be that there’s less and less written about how he’s killing people in Ukraine, and all the attention is once again focused on the Middle East.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Iran #Gaza #Lebanon
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected November 1, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

A very positive effect on the whole Ukraine issue will, of course, come from Israel's victory on the Middle Eastern front, which is also likely to happen within these next three months.
Expected February 8, 2025
#Israel #Middle East #Gaza #Lebanon #Iran
ru → en

Andrey Piontkovsky

One Israeli strike on Iran will follow within a few days, I believe, to ensure everything is prepared. It will lead to a tectonic shift in the Middle East.
Expected January 31, 2025
#Israel #Iran #Middle East
ru → en