Predictions and promises monitor

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Abbas Gallyamov

Political expert (Russia)

Predictions
22
Verified
12
Came true
67%
Complex
58%
Confident
42%
5.74

Abbas Gallyamov

I think Trump definitely won’t object to that... I can’t imagine Trump refusing to sell weapons. In response to the remark: "Ukraine is no longer asking for aid, but wants to buy weapons, and the Europeans are providing money for that."
Completely came true October 3, 2025
#Ukraine #USA #Trump #Europe #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Well, look, Iran is to blame itself. First of all, the regime will collapse soon, so to speak, any day now.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#Iran
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I consider the negotiation track to be key, maybe not in the short term—over the next week or even months—but over a relatively longer period, like six months. Overall, the resources of both sides, in Russia and Ukraine, are significantly depleted.
Did not come true October 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Yes, I think the meeting will take place. There have already been too many confirmations, including official ones. In response to the question: "A meeting between Putin and Trump is expected. Do you think the meeting will happen?"
Completely came true August 15, 2025
#Putin #Trump #USA #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Ivanov is one of the closest people to Shoigu. His arrest on the eve of the appointment of a new government indicates that the current minister's chances of staying in his position are sharply decreasing.
Completely came true May 12, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

At some point, it will definitely happen... but not now. Is Surovikin awaiting the fate of Lapin? (It seems to refer to whether Surovikin will be dismissed?)
Completely came true October 31, 2023
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

At some point, they will certainly put an end to Prigozhin, not literally, but he will most likely be imprisoned.
Almost came true August 23, 2023
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

But now he has 'Europe in three months.' We will freeze them now, and they will kneel; they will pressure Zelensky to sit at the negotiating table, stop supplying him with weapons, and halt economic assistance... well, that's his current plan. He will most likely fail just like with 'Kyiv in three days'. About Putin and his plans
Completely came true May 31, 2023
#Putin #Russia #European Union #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Gas
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

We need to wait for the results of the current Chinese congress. Xi Jinping must secure his position and be reappointed for another term... most likely, he will manage to accomplish this task.
Completely came true October 31, 2022
#China
ru → en