Subscribe to our
Telegram channel

Predictions and promises monitor

| About
en | ru | Author Ranking

Abbas Gallyamov

Political expert (Russia)

Predictions
20
Verified
7
Came true
86%
Complex
43%
Confident
29%
6.38

Abbas Gallyamov

Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
Expected
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

This applies to Putin as well. The problem is that he has gotten involved in too many conflicts and is now exhausting his resources, and this will inevitably end in collapse. There are no other options—it’s just a matter of time, how long he can stretch it out, but it will definitely end in collapse.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

At some point, the first free elections will take place in the country. They were held in Germany after Hitler, in Spain after Franco, in Portugal after Salazar, in the Soviet Union in 1989, and in Poland... and we will have them too... it will be after Putin's death, as a result of his overthrow, an elite conspiracy, reforms, or a revolution... sooner or later, these elections will take place.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

There are many arguments that suggest the likelihood of Belarusians allowing themselves to be drawn into this situation is quite low.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Belarus
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Yes. It will definitely happen as part of democratization. Answer to the question: 'Is demilitarization possible in Russia?'
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I don't see any prerequisites for that at the moment. Answer to the question: 'Will Belarus become part of Russia?'
Expected
#Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Well, look, Iran is to blame itself. First of all, the regime will collapse soon, so to speak, any day now.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Iran
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

In this situation, failing to reach an agreement with Trump, preventing him from fulfilling his campaign promise, essentially upsetting him, would be quite a risky move. I don’t think Putin is that unreasonable. Therefore, in terms of resolving this conflict, I view this year quite positively. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Putin
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I consider the negotiation track to be key, maybe not in the short term—over the next week or even months—but over a relatively longer period, like six months. Overall, the resources of both sides, in Russia and Ukraine, are significantly depleted.
Expected July 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en