Predictions and promises monitor

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Abbas Gallyamov

Political expert (Russia)

Predictions
16
Verified
7
Came true
86%
Complex
43%
Confident
29%
Rating
6.38

Abbas Gallyamov

At some point, the first free elections will take place in the country. They were held in Germany after Hitler, in Spain after Franco, in Portugal after Salazar, in the Soviet Union in 1989, and in Poland... and we will have them too... it will be after Putin's death, as a result of his overthrow, an elite conspiracy, reforms, or a revolution... sooner or later, these elections will take place.
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

There are many arguments that suggest the likelihood of Belarusians allowing themselves to be drawn into this situation is quite low.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Belarus
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

Yes. It will definitely happen as part of democratization. Answer to the question: 'Is demilitarization possible in Russia?'
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I don't see any prerequisites for that at the moment. Answer to the question: 'Will Belarus become part of Russia?'
Expected
#Belarus #Russia
ru → en

Abbas Gallyamov

I consider the negotiation track to be key, maybe not in the short term—over the next week or even months—but over a relatively longer period, like six months. Overall, the resources of both sides, in Russia and Ukraine, are significantly depleted.
Expected July 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en