Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergey Aleksashenko

Economist (Russia)

Predictions
8
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Sergey Aleksashenko

So far, I don't see any significant displacement of the dollar from its status as the world's primary reserve currency.
Expected
#Dollar #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

We need to monitor the reactions of Iraq, Kazakhstan, and Russia. These are three countries that are violators of the OPEC+ agreement. If they do not take any swift actions to reduce oil production and supply to the global market, I believe there is a high probability that the Saudi authorities will eventually turn the tap on and Saudi oil will flood the global market. It seems to me that this scenario is much more likely because, ultimately, all agreements within OPEC end up being violated. After that, the agreement collapses, and there is some stress in the market, prices drop quickly, after which they regroup and prices stabilize and start to rise.
Expected
#Oil #Saudi Arabia #Russia #Kazakhstan #Iraq #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

I don't think that not only until November 5th (the day of the elections), but even until January 20th... I don't think that any serious negotiations can take place during this period.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

Will anything change in the support for Ukraine after the midterm elections? My answer is no. There will always be enough majority to pass the law on financial military support for Ukraine. Referring to the U.S. elections in November 2022.
Expected
#Ukraine #USA #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Aleksashenko

I think not. Response to the question: "Does Putin have the ability to escalate the energy crisis in Europe to the point where he can push for the opening of Nord Stream 2?
Expected
#Gas #Europe #Russia #Putin
ru → en