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Predictions and promises monitor

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Igor Eidman

Sociologist (Russia)

Predictions
15
Verified
5
Came true
60%
Complex
0%
Confident
20%
5.05

Igor Eidman

By summer, I believe Germany will step up and significantly increase its support for Ukraine, especially if the Americans do not resume their aid.
Expected
#Germany #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Eidman

And Assad will also end up lingering in Russia; of course, Putin won’t hand him over. I don’t think they’ll be able to keep their military bases either. It won’t even be Syria deciding this issue, but rather Turkey… They don’t need Russia’s presence in Syria.
Expected
#Syria #Russia
ru → en

Igor Eidman

Le Pen is far-right. The far-right in France has never been and will never be the majority in society. She might even win the first round, but she will lose to anyone in the second round.
Expected
#France #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

The new chancellor will definitely not be Scholz. It is most likely to be Friedrich Merz, his competitor from another mainstream party—the Christian Democratic Union. The chancellor of Germany in 2025.
Completely came true
#Germany #Elections
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I think that pretty soon Trump will send Musk packing, because two narcissistic egocentrics with delusions of grandeur won’t be able to share the same space.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I’m almost convinced that within the next year, this agreement will be broken again—this time, fatally. They’ll have no choice but to carry out another mobilization, there’s no avoiding it. And partially, they’ll have to militarize the labor force too.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I think that Xi Jinping is the last dictator of this kind. Apparently, in China.
Expected
#China
ru → en

Igor Eidman

I am absolutely confident that Ukraine will achieve the goals and objectives it has set in recent years. It will become a truly European, democratic, prosperous, economically successful, and free state. I have no doubt about this. I see the will for this in the Ukrainian people.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Igor Eidman

The result will be a complete defeat and collapse of this regime and a sad end for Putin. He may be taken to The Hague, he may be killed, or he may flee. But the fact remains that he will not stay in power. I am absolutely convinced of this.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en