Predictions and promises monitor

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Dmitry Demushkin

Politician, public figure (Russia)

Predictions
7
Verified
1
Came true
100%
Complex
0%
Confident
0%
Rating
5.75

Dmitry Demushkin

I believe that the transition period will come from the top, because no one at the bottom has the resources... The elite will be formed from those people whom you currently hate, among others. Significant changes in Russia will be initiated by the authorities, not by the people.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Trump is the main advocate for fighting with China and bringing all production back to the U.S. But if the Democrats come to power, I think China's policy will very much return to a calm course of agreements on key issues with the Americans. I don't believe they will initiate any large-scale trade wars with the Democrats.
Expected
#USA #China
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Yes, there is a painful question regarding Taiwan. Well, China has clearly seen that now is not the time to address these issues, at least not through military means. And after the example of Russia, it definitely will not go down that path. I believe it will achieve all its goals anyway. I am absolutely convinced of this. The Chinese know how to be patient. They will take Taiwan, they will take everything they need. Just not right away.
Expected
#Taiwan #China
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

As I understand it, sanctions will always be tied to the territories that have been newly acquired. And it’s clear that I don’t see any reason for them to be lifted, even if they sign peace ten times. In other words, we’ll be under sanctions for a very long time. Sanctions against Russia won’t be lifted anytime soon, even if Russia reaches a peace agreement with Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Mobilization will happen; according to my calculations, it should take place in the second half of autumn, well, in autumn... I am sure that it will happen. In Russia.
Expected November 30, 2024
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en