Predictions and promises monitor

| About

Dmitry Demushkin

Politician, public figure (Russia)

Predictions
19
Verified
7
Came true
71%
Complex
57%
Confident
43%
5.96

Dmitry Demushkin

To imagine that Ukraine would give up or withdraw from the territories of Kherson and Zaporizhzhia — that’s a strange assumption. Even if Trump joins the war alongside Putin, even that won’t lead to Ukraine agreeing to give them up.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

I believe that the transition period will come from the top, because no one at the bottom has the resources... The elite will be formed from those people whom you currently hate, among others. Significant changes in Russia will be initiated by the authorities, not by the people.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Trump is the main advocate for fighting with China and bringing all production back to the U.S. But if the Democrats come to power, I think China's policy will very much return to a calm course of agreements on key issues with the Americans. I don't believe they will initiate any large-scale trade wars with the Democrats.
Expected
#USA #China
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

Yes, there is a painful question regarding Taiwan. Well, China has clearly seen that now is not the time to address these issues, at least not through military means. And after the example of Russia, it definitely will not go down that path. I believe it will achieve all its goals anyway. I am absolutely convinced of this. The Chinese know how to be patient. They will take Taiwan, they will take everything they need. Just not right away.
Expected
#Taiwan #China
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

If they sort out all the technical issues, I think that in the next few years India will become the main driver of global growth. Trillions of dollars will be invested there.
Expected December 31, 2032
#India #Economy
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

As I understand it, sanctions will always be tied to the territories that have been newly acquired. And it’s clear that I don’t see any reason for them to be lifted, even if they sign peace ten times. In other words, we’ll be under sanctions for a very long time. Sanctions against Russia won’t be lifted anytime soon, even if Russia reaches a peace agreement with Ukraine.
Expected December 31, 2029
#Russia #Economy of Russia #Economy
ru → en

Dmitry Demushkin

I've stated my prediction: they will choose a path soon—either they will carry out mobilization, or they will have to start peace negotiations. They can wait no longer than half a year.
Expected April 8, 2026
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en