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It’s clear that Biden won’t be visiting Europe before the end of his term. At least, the likelihood of that happening is close to zero.
#Biden #USA #Europe

Most likely, this will happen today, so I will cautiously say that this sensational news will occur. Today, Antony Blinken is arriving in Kyiv... The USA will allow Ukraine to use American long-range weapons to strike at Russia.
#War in Ukraine #USA #Russia #Ukraine

There is no chance that any of the Western leaders will say a word for Kara-Murza and that he will be freed - this is very unlikely... A swap is extremely unlikely. People like him are not exchanged. Neither Navalny, nor Kara-Murza, nor Yashin.
#Russia #USA #United Kingdom

Putin will not release Navalny... there are two people that Putin will not let go. I understand that I could be wrong, but nonetheless, I have been following this for a long time. These are two personal enemies of Putin: Alexei Navalny and Vladimir Kara-Murza.
#Russia #Putin

Still, most likely, the Republican Party will not nominate Trump. For the 2024 U.S. presidential election
#Trump #2024 United States presidential election #USA

Most likely... they will return an urn with the ashes. Context: After Alexei Navalny's death, his body is not being released to relatives for a long time.
#Russia

This is my prediction: he will not be allowed... My prediction is that it is most likely that Nadezhdin will be removed from the race. Boris Nadezhdin will not be allowed to participate in the presidential elections.
#Russia #2024 Russian presidential election #Elections

He is unlikely to expect that due to his attacks, Putin will remove Beglov. This is out of the question... Beglov is quite satisfactory to Putin. And of course, under such pressure, Beglov will never be dismissed... Under no circumstances will Prigozhin's actions achieve success.
#Russia

I think that Kadyrov will not leave. Commenting on Kadyrov's statement that he has been sitting in his position for too long.
#Kadyrov #Russia

There are no chances that a complete fuel energy embargo will be imposed in the foreseeable future, even in relation to the West.
#Russia

The probability of being able to show the capture of Bakhmut is zero. By Russian troops.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Winter will not be a respite. If possible, they will try to advance in winter as well. Russian troops.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Putin is no longer in a position to disrupt this grain deal... the grain deal will take place without Putin, I hope for that.
#Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Economy

And he will continue the mobilization... and then in December, it’s absolutely clear that another round of mobilization will begin.
#Russia

Despite the predictions that it will end this year, I think that this will not happen. About the end of the war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I believe that Putin's trip to Bali is extremely unlikely. At the G20.
#Putin #G20 #Russia

I am not sure that there will be very fierce street battles... a significant number of occupiers will prefer to leave... Kherson is likely to be de-occupied in the coming days.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

Recently, Turchak stated that the referendums will be postponed to November 4, which means that they will not take place.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

As for the Luhansk region, the probability that this referendum will be held is quite high.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

I am very afraid that they will give it. Visa for Lavrov to participate in the UN General Assembly.
#Russia #UN