Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleg Kashin

Journalist (Russia)

Predictions
23
Verified
11
Came true
73%
Complex
55%
Confident
18%
6.16

Oleg Kashin

Years go by, and, hypothetically speaking, whose statue would stand in a Moscow square? I don't believe it would be Putin's.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Putinism, having survived this war, will become stronger, tougher, and more aggressive toward its citizens. After the war in Ukraine ends, the Putin regime will grow stronger.
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

But to imagine that the Russian Federation, after parting ways with Putin, would continue his course, uphold his values, and remain loyal to him—it’s impossible. In fact, the term "forever" is perhaps the least fitting description for the current Russian statehood.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Now we learn that literally everyone in the Ministry of Defense is a thief. And it's remarkable that everyone, from the director of the Patriot Park, the favorite project of Sergey Shoigu, to his key deputies, turns out to be thieves and corrupt officials. The question arises: when will he be imprisoned? I have an answer to this question, which may not be very original. I suspect that he will never be imprisoned.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Kazakhstan is outside the sanctions, Kazakhstan is a fashionable country. It's easy to imagine that McDonald's... is coming back... I think they will return, everything will be fine.
Expected
#Kazakhstan
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Democratic Party leaders in the United States will never dare to seriously confront Russia, neither on the battlefield nor in the realm of sanctions.
Expected
#USA #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

And the same goes for our future civil war, which I regularly announce. Yes, there will definitely be a civil war. In Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

It will definitely happen, it will definitely happen! In response to the question: "We need your prediction — will there be a war between India and Pakistan?"
Expected December 31, 2035
#India #Pakistan
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Quite soon, nothing will prevent the Israeli authorities from announcing that the objectives of the special military operation have been achieved and that Iran no longer has either a nuclear program or the people who planned to implement it, because the maximum program — some new government in Iran loyal to Israel — is clearly unattainable.
Expected December 19, 2025
#Iran #Israel
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

These emotional ups and downs, accompanied since February by the looming specter of a backroom deal... People have long been saying that Donald Trump himself might back out — both he and Vance have hinted at it. Honestly, I still don’t believe that the United States is even capable of pulling out of this process. Deep down, I continue to hold on to the hope that one day Trump will snap and push Putin to the breaking point. The U.S. will not exit the process of resolving the war in Ukraine.
Expected November 26, 2025
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

As for peace, and the promised end to the Russian-Ukrainian war — which never happened and clearly won't happen anytime soon.
Expected October 6, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en