Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleg Kashin

Journalist (Russia)

Predictions
18
Verified
10
Came true
70%
Complex
50%
Confident
20%
6.03

Oleg Kashin

Tomorrow everyone is nervous, waiting for something — am I waiting? Who the hell knows, but I have the feeling that the real red lines are not to kill Comrade Xi or even to scare Comrade Xi. These lines are clear to the Ukrainian side, so I assume nothing will happen tomorrow, and the parade, if you watch it, will go smoothly without a hitch. Meaning that Ukraine will not attack the parade on Red Square in Moscow on May 9.
Completely came true May 10, 2025
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

I’ll whisper a guess that Ilya Yashin will either ignore your call or decline. Context: On October 11, 2024, Mikhail Svetov invited Ilya Yashin to a debate on "collective responsibility of Russians."
Completely came true October 14, 2024
#Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

...a story about an offensive in which it is impossible to believe in its success. The potential counteroffensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in Crimea, which was supposed to take place in 2022-2023.
Completely came true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Well, what will Bout be? A deputy from the LDPR at best.
Completely came true September 12, 2023
#Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

As far as I understand, they will ultimately leave Latvia now. TV Rain
Completely came true January 25, 2023
#Latvia #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Even in November, it will not be held. Referendums on the annexation to Russia of several occupied regions of Ukraine: Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions.
Did not come true September 30, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

It is clear that the Russian authorities and their proxy satellites probably won't have the heart to actually hang these people. Probably it will be an exchange. About the British prisoners.
Completely came true September 21, 2022
#Russia #War in Ukraine #United Kingdom
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

Although if they do exchange him, it will be for those Britons. Regarding Medvedchuk, if he is exchanged, it will be for the captured Britons.
Completely came true September 21, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Kashin

I plan to remain in my previous role as a person who still does not believe that a war, in the form of the movement of the Russian armed forces to the contact line and beyond, is possible and will occur.
Did not come true February 24, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en