Predictions and promises monitor

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#Georgia

Authors
16
Predictions
21
Verified
3
Came true
33%
Complex
0%
Confident
67%

Michael Sheitelman

It draws the attention of European officials, which is something Georgia really needs right now. America is likely to lean toward not recognizing the election results. In Georgia.
Expected
#Georgia #USA #Elections
ru → en

Slavomir Majman

I believe that sooner or later, Georgia will return to its path toward the European Union. And the West will start to forget what they didn’t like about the elections and the pre-election period there.
Expected
#Georgia #European Union
ru → en

Vision of the future

If today Zurabishvili and the U.S. ambassador fail to convince the Georgian opposition to bring people out for a Maidan, initiate citywide strikes, and organize a series of blockades at the airport and main roads, by next weekend, the Georgian parliament will likely have a constitutional majority and begin impeachment proceedings against French citizen and foreign agent Salome Zurabishvili. The parliament would then announce early presidential elections to be held in early 2025.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

I think this will be one of Ivanishvili's justifications when he is removed from power and receives a sentence in absentia, a punishment. He will probably outlive Putin and eventually face punishment, perhaps even in absentia.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Konstantin Borovoy

In Georgia, a revolutionary scenario is likely. The Georgian people are very emotional. At some point, when mere existence becomes truly dangerous for people, they will rise up and overthrow Ivanishvili. He won’t sit in prison; he’ll flee to Russia immediately.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Mikhail Svetov

My prediction is that, in Georgia, there won’t be any new coup. First, because people have already gone through such a change and have realized the price these shifts demand. Second, because they don’t lead to the outcomes that society usually expects. It’s a rather grim thought.
Expected
#Georgia
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There is a fairly strong coalition—the Patriotic Faction, or "Patriots for Europe" faction in the European Parliament—and I believe they will recognize your elections. Referring to the "Patriots for Europe" faction in the European Parliament, which will likely recognize the 2024 elections in Georgia.
Expected
#European Union #Georgia
ru → en

Dmitry Gordon

I am convinced that the opposition will not accept Russia’s blatant interference in the elections or the shift from a European to a Russian-oriented direction. And, of course, things will not end peacefully in Georgia. The ruling party won’t be able to control the situation, and Russia won’t be able to help. I think things will get heated. I’m not certain, but I believe it will get intense. Context: Parliamentary elections have just taken place in Georgia, with the current ruling party, Georgian Dream, declared the winner.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Gela Vasadze

I think they will cancel it. I think they will cancel it. In response to the question: "Do I understand correctly that they might cancel the visa-free regime for Georgia?" (This most likely refers to the visa-free regime with the European Union)
Expected
#Georgia #European Union
ru → en

David Sakvarelidze

I believe that the time of Georgian Dream, and specifically Bidzina Ivanishvili, is running out. His rule and control over the state of Georgia have just 2 days and 2 nights left... How long it will take him to realize that power should be transferred peacefully is another question.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

The ruling party in Georgia is "Georgian Dream," a puppet pro-Moscow party... My prediction is that Moscow is certainly involved and is participating in the election process in Georgia, which will take place on the 26th. They will rig the elections, that’s for sure. And most likely, Moscow will also take part in forcefully defending the rigged election results, ensuring that Georgian Dream remains in power.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections #Russia
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

I would assume that most likely the Georgian Dream will lose the elections, and the opposition will win. In the parliamentary elections in Georgia on October 26, 2024.
Did not come true
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Michael Sheitelman

With a very high probability—though I can't say 100%—we are likely to see an attempted revolution in Georgia. Following the elections on October 26, 2024.
Expected
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Valeriy Chechelashvili

The Georgian Dream party cannot win in these elections, because in the last elections they got 47%, and many people have left the party over the past four years.
Did not come true
#Georgia #Elections
ru → en

Mark Feygin

Because in December, the question of Georgia’s candidacy for EU membership will be decided. And the chances are zero.
Completely came true
#Georgia #European Union
ru → en