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Predictions and promises monitor

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Leonid Volkov

Politician (Russia)

Predictions
27
Verified
16
Came true
63%
Complex
38%
Confident
69%
5.45

Leonid Volkov

I made a prediction on the best political show that I believe there will be interesting developments and opportunities in September 2025. There are few available positions, many contenders, and regional elites have fewer tools left to determine who holds more power. Answer to the question: "What do you think about the municipal elections on Unified Voting Day 2025? The prospects of Smart Voting."
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

I see the future of FBK as a political force participating in competitive elections and playing an important role in the Russian parliament… of course, absolutely without any issues. Answer to the question: "Will you pass the parliamentary threshold?"
Expected
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Either something about tariffs, possibly on imports from China, or something related to crypto. In response to the question: "What will Trump’s first executive order be after the inauguration?"
Did not come true
#Trump #USA #China #Cryptocurrencies
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Here’s my prediction: if Putin is alive, the war will not end in 2025. Putin has no interest in ending it. He believes he can have it all, not just some compromise. He doesn’t see how any compromise could allow him to save face. The war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Specifically about Gabbard, I think she won’t be approved. Tulsi Gabbard won’t be confirmed as the head of U.S. intelligence.
Did not come true
#USA
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

But something tells me that Leonid Nevzlin will not go to the European Union and will not move anywhere from Israel.
Expected
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Erdogan is trading on the domestic market, saying that we will soon be accepted into the European Union, and we will live well. Although he understands perfectly well that this will not happen. Turkey will not be accepted into the European Union.
Expected
#Turkey #European Union #Erdogan
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

I think that in the second half of 2023, a YouTube blockage is highly likely. In Russia.
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

No, I don't think so. Answer to the question: "Will China attack Russia after the war?" (War in Ukraine)
Expected
#Russia #China
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

I don't think so. Answer to the question: "Do you think that Putin will cancel the September elections?" (of 2023)
Completely came true
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

I don't believe that the Armed Forces of Ukraine will return Crimea by military means... I am absolutely confident that this can be resolved diplomatically.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

My prediction is that this will definitely not happen. The disintegration of Russia.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

No, I don't see a scenario in which this will happen. Answer to the question "Will the war affect Moscow in 2023?"
Completely came true
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

It seems to me that there will be no border closures. They will use it as a scare tactic... but it's unlikely they will decide to implement it. In Russia.
Completely came true
#Russia
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Yes. Answer to the question: 'Will those who were awarded in this war be stripped of their awards?' (From the side of Russia)
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

No, they won't attack. Answer to the question: 'Will Israel and Azerbaijan attack Iran?'
Expected
#Israel #Iran
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Definitely... in mid-January. In response to the question: "Will there be a second wave of mobilization?"
Did not come true
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Leonid Volkov

Yes, of course. Answer to the question: 'Will Navalny live to see the BRF?' (Beautiful Russia of the Future)
Did not come true
#Russia
ru → en