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I think the Russians will win in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

No. Think politically that the Russians will go to Great Lengths to make sure Ukraine doesn't join NATO. And I think that the West will not bring dysfunctional Ukraine into the alliance. So I think that Ukraine will not become part of NATO. Answer to the question: "Do you think Ukraine will end up joining the NATO"
#Ukraine #NATO #War in Ukraine #Russia

Let's assume that collapse is so complete that the Russians are able to take all the territory in those four oblast, and then they begin to move in to the next four oblast that are to the West of those four they've already annexed and this would involve oblast like Odessa and Kharkiv. And they take those or they try to take those oblast and it looks like they're making good progress. If you're in this scenario, I think the temptation for the Americans to come in would be significant but I still think we would not come in. If Russia captures Odessa and Kharkiv, the USA will still not intervene directly in the war.
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine #Russia

No, I don't think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan anytime soon. And there are a variety of reasons for that. One of the main reasons is that for him or for China to attack Taiwan it has to cross a large body of water. And amphibious operations are among the most difficult military operations you can ask an army to perform. It is very difficult to cross a body of water as large as the Taiwan straight. Answer to the question: "Do you think that Xi Jinping is going to attack Taiwan in this decade?"
#Taiwan #China

I think the Israeli Palestinian conflict is only going to get worse.
#Israel #Palestine #Israel-Hamas war #Gaza #Hamas