Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleksiy Arestovych

Public figure (Ukraine)

Predictions
65
Verified
27
Came true
74%
Complex
44%
Confident
48%
Rating
6.2

Oleksiy Arestovych

One way or another, the basis of the future agreement should be the Istanbul agreements... and in one form or another, they will most likely be implemented.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

And the EU and NATO will not accept us... Because the price for Ukraine's accession to the EU and NATO is a war between Russia and the EU and NATO, a large war. They will not go for it.
Expected
#Ukraine #European Union #NATO #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don't believe in the execution of the death sentence; to be honest, I don't really believe it. It's most likely blackmail. On the execution of the death sentence for captured Ukrainian servicemen (specifically the Azov fighters)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think there will be. Because there are not enough forces and resources. The answer to the question: 'Will there be mobilization in Russia or not?'
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

In America, there is an ideological civil war happening. A direct civil war. Whether it will escalate to a hot war, I don't think so. It may lead to clashes... But I don't believe that F-35s will shoot down F-35s; there is no such potential there.
Expected
#USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It won't happen. Commenting on the remark: "In an attempt to prevent the start of the de-occupation of Kherson, it will be part of this agreement (the grain deal)"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

There will definitely be a moment in Russia when there will be a rally of 350,000 people near the Kremlin again
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

An insane statement... no one will ever sign in Budapest a second time... in any other city, but not in Budapest... they won't sign there, it's impossible. It could even be in Hungary, but in any other city. Regarding a possible meeting between Zelensky and Putin in Budapest.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Hungary
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

They will elevate Surovikin to a hero, and then he will die in an aviation accident or be shot by his wife in a domestic conflict. This is a reference to the fates of Generals Lebed and Rokhlin.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

In order to do anything with Odessa, one must first capture Mykolaiv. These prospects were dashed even at the beginning of the war... Now there are no chances of capturing it at all. Russia will not be able to take Mykolaiv.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Odessa is not threatened at all, I repeat, not at all. In order to do anything with Odessa, one must first capture Mykolaiv. These prospects were dashed even at the beginning of the war... Now there are no chances of capturing it at all... What threatens Odessa? There could be strikes on Odessa with cruise missiles. Russian troops will not storm Odessa.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

And now a new trend has emerged. They have started talking about space. About possible wars in space. I believe this is inevitable in the next 10-15 years.
Expected December 31, 2039
#Space
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

It's almost certain that the same level of aid as before won’t be there. Will there be any aid at all? In response to the question: "How likely is it that Ukraine will be left without U.S. financial aid at 2024 levels next year?"
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #USA
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I think that sooner or later, more likely sooner, Orban and his team will resign
Expected December 31, 2025
#Hungary
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

I don’t think we will go through with it; I’m a skeptic in this regard. We will continue to escalate and provoke. Since the talks in "Great Yalta" are about reconciliation by the New Year and a ceasefire, I expect some major provocation from our side soon—something intended to disrupt these efforts. He implies that peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine are being prepared for before the New Year, and that Ukraine will derail them with a provocation.
Expected December 31, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleksiy Arestovych

Russian forces are building up strike groups. They will attack along the entire front, from Zaporizhzhia to Kupiansk. A strategic offensive is being prepared, and it’s a matter of days.
Expected November 11, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en