Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleg Zhdanov

Military analyst, blogger (Ukraine)

Predictions
34
Verified
17
Came true
82%
Complex
41%
Confident
29%
Rating
6.66

Oleg Zhdanov

Iran announced that they have developed a long-range cruise missile capable of flying 1,650 km... Will this missile appear in the armed forces of the Russian Federation in the near future? I don't think so.
Completely came true February 25, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Iran #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

Or there is the option that some analysts, including in the U.S., predict. The war may drag on until spring, and in the worst-case scenario, it may last until autumn 2023... The best prediction is the end of the war in winter, the average is spring, and the worst is autumn of next year.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

We do not anticipate an offensive on Dnipro at all... there is currently no direct threat of invasion or attack on Dnipro.
Completely came true February 5, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I think they might hold out for another week or two, no more. About the right-bank grouping of Russian troops in Kherson Region
Partially came true November 10, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

Regarding the idea that the liberation of Kherson is far off, I do not share that point of view... yes, it is not a matter of tomorrow, and not a matter of the coming week... but it is not a matter of the New Year or deep autumn
Completely came true November 10, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

Let's take a risk; I think that the 8th package could, hypothetically, still include a gas embargo. The 8th package of sanctions against Russia
Did not come true October 6, 2022
#Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

Well, I think visas will be granted. For Lavrov to visit the UN General Assembly
Completely came true September 13, 2022
#Russia #UN
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I think that in the next week we are unlikely to see anything... closer to the end of the month, it is quite possible that the Armed Forces of Ukraine may attempt to initiate counteroffensive actions or a counteroffensive in one of the directions
Completely came true September 10, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

These are not negotiations at all, and they will lead to nothing; there will be no results. The most that will happen is an exchange of positions. About negotiations at the very beginning of the war.
Completely came true September 1, 2022
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

For now, I don't think China will decide on a landing operation in Taiwan. In connection with Pelosi's visit to Taiwan
Completely came true August 31, 2022
#Taiwan #China #USA
ru → en