Predictions and promises monitor

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Oleg Zhdanov

Military analyst, blogger (Ukraine)

Predictions
34
Verified
17
Came true
82%
Complex
41%
Confident
29%
Rating
6.66

Oleg Zhdanov

I believe that the first place this wave of national liberation movements will ignite is the Caucasus, which will lead to the collapse—maybe not complete, but definitely a collapse—of the Rashist Federation. Referring to Russia as the "Rashist Federation".
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

And Storm Shadows will be there, and ATACMS will be there... I don't think there will be permission for their use. We have reached the point where the interests of the U.S. and Ukraine are starting to diverge. The U.S. will not allow the use of long-range weapons deep into Russian territory
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I think that mobilization will have to be announced. Either they will have to make compromises, but this will most likely be without Putin. Answer to the question: 'Your prediction, Oleg Vladimirovich... will Putin have to announce mobilization?'
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

A landing operation is a hundred percent out of the question, a hundred percent. Regarding the possible actions of the Russian army if it goes towards Kryvyi Rih.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

There are several scenarios that could occur as a result of the military defeat of the Russian armed forces on Ukrainian territory. A quiet palace coup could happen... and a revolution or civil war within Russia itself is also possible, which would be the worst outcome and the least favorable for Western countries
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I don't think they... this is blackmail, this is bluffing, but it is very dangerous. About the possibilities of Russia blowing up the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

This threat is practically zero, both for Zaporizhzhia, Kryvyi Rih, and Mykolaiv; it is practically zero. The threat of a breakthrough by Russian troops.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I think zero percent. Why? Because a general mobilization could trigger a social explosion in Russia. Response to the question: 'What percentage do you give that Putin might declare a general mobilization?'
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Putin
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

The likelihood is very high that we will not be accepted into NATO Ukraine
Expected
#Ukraine #NATO
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

Of course, they will provide them. It's just a matter of time. West will provide Ukraine with missiles with a range of 300 km.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I think he will now remain in this position for the rest of his life. Xi Jinping
Expected
#Xi Jinping #China
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I can say for sure that by all indications, Putin will not leave; he will not leave on his own, he will sit in that chair until his last breath.
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Oleg Zhdanov

I don't think so. I believe that the balance is leaning towards Belarus not participating. About the possibility of the direct involvement of Belarusian armed forces in the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Belarus #Ukraine
ru → en