Predictions and promises monitor

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Alexei Venediktov

Journalist, editor-in-chief of Echo of Moscow (Russia)

Predictions
11
Verified
5
Came true
80%
Complex
60%
Confident
20%
6.25

Alexei Venediktov

I lean towards the idea that substantive negotiations on a ceasefire will begin. As for how they will end, as Viktor Stepanovich Chernomyrdin once said: "That’s a philosophical question." In response to the question: "Do you believe that within the next six months there will be a truce, a ceasefire, or that Putin won’t agree to it?"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Most likely, Russia will leave and will already begin evacuating the S-400 systems provided to Assad toward the Tartus naval base. Most likely, it will leave, most likely it will leave. Russia will leave Syria.
Expected
#Russia #Syria
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

Ms. Sandu, even if she wins the election, it will still be something like 51 to 49. Or if the other candidate wins, it will also be 51 to 49.
Almost came true
#Moldova #Elections
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

But I am generally not very sure that the president will change the Minister of Defense during the special military operation. This would mean acknowledging that the Russian army is suffering defeats this year. Maybe I no longer understand President Putin correctly, but he wouldn't have done this before.
Did not come true
#Russia #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

A little about possible changes after the inauguration. I would bet on the return of Alexei Dyumin from Tula to Moscow: either to the government (as a security vice-premier or minister), or to the Security Council, or even to the Administration of the President.
Completely came true
#Russia
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

I think there will be a younger Zyuganov among the communists... Candidate for the Moscow mayoral elections.
Completely came true
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

I think that Yabloko will not be registered. The candidate from Yabloko for the Moscow mayoral elections.
Completely came true
#Russia #Elections
ru → en

Alexei Venediktov

The Western world, Zelensky's allies, the coalition, and I would say the world, will never recognize Crimea as Russian.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia
ru → en