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Predictions and promises monitor

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Grigory Tamar

Retired officer of the Israel Defense Forces, military historian (Israel)

Predictions
20
Verified
6
Came true
67%
Complex
50%
Confident
33%
5.77

Grigory Tamar

Well, first of all, Taiwan is not so easy to take. Taiwan has a quite sizable army, and it is far from helpless... therefore, I think that the Chinese will not resort to a forceful solution to the issue.
Expected
#Taiwan #China
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

Those who committed crimes against humanity will be punished. It is quite obvious. After the end of the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

He will be killed. Answer to the question: 'What will happen to Putin?' (after the defeat of Russia)
Expected
#Putin #Russia
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

I do not rule out that there will be a renewed attempt to invade from Belarus... the likelihood of the Belarusian army's participation is extremely low... but I do allow for the use of Belarus as a staging ground by Russia
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Belarus #Ukraine
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

I am absolutely sure that as a result of the war, all your territory will return under the control of the Ukrainian state. This is quite obvious; you will reclaim all the territory back
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

First of all, a new system of international security will be developed. After the war in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine
ru → en

Grigory Tamar

No, there won’t be. There will be no ceasefire. I say this with deep sorrow. In response to the question: “Do you think there will be a full ceasefire by Easter?”
Expected April 20, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en