Predictions and promises monitor

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Aleksandr Morozov

Journalist, political scientist (Russia)

Predictions
7
Verified
1
Came true
100%
Complex
0%
Confident
100%
Rating
5.92

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

The radical fears that the United States might leave NATO or paralyze it... have no basis.
Expected
#USA #NATO
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

I think that right now China will not take any radical steps regarding Taiwan... So, I believe there won’t be a direct, severe escalation that would require U.S. intervention anytime soon.
Expected October 16, 2025
#China #Taiwan
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

My current prediction is that Israel will not carry out strikes against Iran... The logic that will prevail is focused on maintaining the possibility of further diplomacy between Iran and the West.
Expected April 16, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en