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Aleksandr Morozov

Journalist, political scientist (Russia)

Predictions
10
Verified
1
Came true
100%
Complex
0%
Confident
100%
5.92

Aleksandr Morozov

From my point of view, the Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada will never vote for any document even remotely resembling the Budapest Memorandum or the Minsk Agreements.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

As for the possibility of negotiations with Putin for Trump, there is none. There is a 90% likelihood that throughout Trump's term, if he gets one, a summit meeting with Putin will not take place. It's impossible to arrange. Putin will not enter into any negotiations with Trump about ending the war, on the terms that Trump might propose.
Expected
#Trump #Putin #USA #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

The radical fears that the United States might leave NATO or paralyze it... have no basis.
Expected
#USA #NATO
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

Ukraine has suffered from aggression. The assessment of what Russia has done will not change... The consequences of territorial annexations will not be recognized until the end of the 21st century. This is obvious. In the coming decades, no one will agree that this is acceptable or that it can align with international law.
Expected December 31, 2099
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

There is no doubt that Ukraine already has the capability to strike the Kremlin, just as Moscow can strike Bankova. This hasn’t been done during three years of war because certain boundaries existed. In 2025, those boundaries will be crossed—that is already clear.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

I think that right now China will not take any radical steps regarding Taiwan... So, I believe there won’t be a direct, severe escalation that would require U.S. intervention anytime soon.
Expected October 16, 2025
#China #Taiwan
ru → en

Aleksandr Morozov

My current prediction is that Israel will not carry out strikes against Iran... The logic that will prevail is focused on maintaining the possibility of further diplomacy between Iran and the West.
Expected April 16, 2025
#Israel #Iran
ru → en