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Trump, one of Putin's most important demands regarding Ukraine not joining NATO—strictly speaking, he basically agrees with it. So why antagonize this man? If he gets angry or offended, he might simply declare that the U.S. supports Ukraine’s application... How can you afford to quarrel with such a person? That’s why Putin will go to the negotiations. And I believe he will make a significant number of concessions.
#Putin #Trump #War in Ukraine #Russia #USA

Well, look, Iran is to blame itself. First of all, the regime will collapse soon, so to speak, any day now.
#Iran

In this situation, failing to reach an agreement with Trump, preventing him from fulfilling his campaign promise, essentially upsetting him, would be quite a risky move. I don’t think Putin is that unreasonable. Therefore, in terms of resolving this conflict, I view this year quite positively. Speaking about the war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Trump #Putin

This applies to Putin as well. The problem is that he has gotten involved in too many conflicts and is now exhausting his resources, and this will inevitably end in collapse. There are no other options—it’s just a matter of time, how long he can stretch it out, but it will definitely end in collapse.
#Putin #Russia

I consider the negotiation track to be key, maybe not in the short term—over the next week or even months—but over a relatively longer period, like six months. Overall, the resources of both sides, in Russia and Ukraine, are significantly depleted.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia

At some point, the first free elections will take place in the country. They were held in Germany after Hitler, in Spain after Franco, in Portugal after Salazar, in the Soviet Union in 1989, and in Poland... and we will have them too... it will be after Putin's death, as a result of his overthrow, an elite conspiracy, reforms, or a revolution... sooner or later, these elections will take place.
#Russia #Elections

Ivanov is one of the closest people to Shoigu. His arrest on the eve of the appointment of a new government indicates that the current minister's chances of staying in his position are sharply decreasing.
#Russia

I am sure that the Kremlin will not register Nadezhdin in order not to put the system to the test. I consider the registration of Nadezhdin to be an extremely unlikely scenario
#Russia #2024 Russian presidential election #Elections

At some point, it will definitely happen... but not now. Is Surovikin awaiting the fate of Lapin? (It seems to refer to whether Surovikin will be dismissed?)
#Russia #War in Ukraine

At some point, they will certainly put an end to Prigozhin, not literally, but he will most likely be imprisoned.
#Russia #War in Ukraine

They will definitely be overthrown. Putin and Lukashenko.
#Putin #Russia #Lukashenko #Belarus

No. Answer to the question: 'What about Russian troops on Khreshchatyk?' (Is a parade of Russian troops on Khreshchatyk possible?)
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

No. Answer to the question: 'Is a parade of Ukrainian troops on Red Square possible?'
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

Yes. It will definitely happen as part of democratization. Answer to the question: 'Is demilitarization possible in Russia?'
#Russia

I don't see any prerequisites for that at the moment. Answer to the question: 'Will Belarus become part of Russia?'
#Belarus #Russia

We need to wait for the results of the current Chinese congress. Xi Jinping must secure his position and be reappointed for another term... most likely, he will manage to accomplish this task.
#China

In the current situation, I seriously doubt that Putin will be able to be re-elected in 2024, considering the dynamics we are currently observing.
#Putin #2024 Russian presidential election #Russia

No, of course not... About the prospects of China's assistance to Russia regarding the war in Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #China #Russia

But now he has 'Europe in three months.' We will freeze them now, and they will kneel; they will pressure Zelensky to sit at the negotiating table, stop supplying him with weapons, and halt economic assistance... well, that's his current plan. He will most likely fail just like with 'Kyiv in three days'. About Putin and his plans
#Putin #Russia #European Union #War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Gas

There are many arguments that suggest the likelihood of Belarusians allowing themselves to be drawn into this situation is quite low.
#War in Ukraine #Belarus