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Bet! I don't think you'll face criminal charges by New Year's. Dmitry Treshchanin won't have a criminal case opened against him before New Year's.
#Russia

We've finished reading the Tribute. Please donate via Telegram while it's still possible. I think that option will also be disabled soon.
#Russia #Telegram #Censorship #Internet

I think the question of blocking WhatsApp and Telegram is a matter of, if not months, then a very foreseeable future, once they launch their Max and get enough users onto it. Max is a Russian messenger service.
#Russia #Internet #Censorship #Telegram

I actually think it's not just that the cops don't care; I'm personally sure they'll be covered this time. There will be no consequences for the killing in Ekaterinburg. No police officers will be held accountable for anything. Speaking about the deaths of two Azerbaijanis during their detention in Ekaterinburg.
#Russia #Azerbaijan

If the Iranian regime remains, especially after this war, will it not try to strengthen its potential? Will it not try to acquire a nuclear bomb again? That is why I believe the best option is, of course, a change of regime in Iran. But that does not seem possible yet.
#Iran

I believe that a year from now, and even two years from now, the war will still be ongoing—and Putin’s regime will endure one year from now, two years, three years, and even five years on.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Putin #Ukraine

I don’t believe Vladimir Putin will even come close to acting like Lukashenko. He won’t release a single person. Putin will not free political prisoners as Lukashenko did on June 21, 2025.
#Putin #Russia

At that Putin forum of his, his little elite reached a “deal”—as if it were a joke—that Afghanistan would send its specialists and builders to Russia. I’m certain we won’t see any Afghan builders or specialists here in Russia; we’ll only see products from Afghanistan.
#Russia #Afghanistan

I think Yavlinsky isn’t as irritating; he’s less visible on the local level — it’s Moscow, not Pskov. Yavlinsky seems to be less media-present than Shlosberg. He makes some strange statements once every six months, and that’s it. In this sense, I think he doesn’t face any particular risks. Yavlinsky won’t be arrested like Shlosberg.
#Russia

There’s a very unpleasant detail — depending on the type of penal colony, the days spent under house arrest don’t count toward the future sentence if it turns out to be a real prison term. And I believe Shlosberg will get a real sentence. Simply because it’s Pskov — people there are fed up with him. We can see how biased the attitude toward him is, specifically in Pskov.
#Russia

Zoom, I think. Google, I believe, will be one of the last, it seems to me. In response to the question: "Who will be banned next?" (In Russia)
#Russia #Censorship #Internet

Let’s get back to the Trump administration. What’s next? I think that’s it. Basically, next week or in a couple of weeks, they’ll officially take offense — like, “if you’re so ungrateful and forgot to thank us, then we’re not going to do anything.” The Trump administration will soon withdraw from efforts to resolve the war between Russia and Ukraine.
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA #Trump

I am expecting mobilization in Russia. In 2025.
#Russia #War in Ukraine

I have a bad forecast. I do not expect a quick ceasefire, unlike many.
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine

It is unlikely that he will press the nuclear button. Well, these are our reflections from a logical standpoint. From a logical perspective, not all of Vladimir Putin's actions can be explained normally.
#Nuclear weapons #Putin #Russia #War in Ukraine