Predictions and promises monitor

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Vitaly Portnikov

Journalist (Ukraine)

Predictions
3
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Vitaly Portnikov

If a politician manages to achieve a peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine that is recognized as a just peace, they would undoubtedly be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for resolving the conflict. However, I believe this will not happen, because I don’t see any real prospects for such a political settlement in the foreseeable future.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Maidan is a classic popular uprising... and I don't believe that we will ever encounter a Maidan in our history In Ukraine.
Expected
#Ukraine
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected November 1, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en