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Predictions and promises monitor

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Igor Lipsitz

Economist (Russia)

Predictions
26
Verified
4
Came true
75%
Complex
100%
Confident
0%
6.06

Igor Lipsitz

Most likely, in March, we will see a reversal of the trend toward the ruble’s depreciation. Otherwise, there will be a huge problem with filling the Russian Federation’s budget.
Did not come true March 30, 2025
#Ruble #Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

For some reason, I feel that at the next meeting, they will raise the rate by half a percentage point, bringing it to 21.5. They won’t dare to increase it too much because it would be both pointless and too provocative. So, in the near future, they will likely keep it at around 21 or 21.5.
Partially came true March 21, 2025
#Economy of Russia #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Igor Lipsitz

I think they will simply ask one of the bankers to sell, and the exchange rate will stabilize and go down. I don’t think it will stay at this 114 level just yet—it’s too early for that. I believe they’ll bring it down to around 107-105 and keep it there for some time. Rubles per dollar.
Completely came true January 15, 2025
#Ruble #Dollar #Economy of Russia #Russia
ru → en