Predictions and promises monitor

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Iliya Kusa

Expert of the Ukrainian Institute for the Future (Ukraine)

Predictions
7
Verified
1
Came true
100%
Complex
100%
Confident
0%
6.08

Iliya Kusa

I expect a ceasefire in Gaza. I think it could happen at the beginning of the year, maybe right after Trump’s inauguration, or perhaps even by the end of this year... It seems the sides will return to a freeze.
Expected
#Gaza #Israel #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

I don’t see any threat to the U.S. dollar in the coming decades, for sure. BRICS is not ready for this. In bilateral relations, they can afford, as they already do, to move away from the dollar in favor of national currencies, but this doesn’t mean that the dollar is seriously weakening on the global stage yet.
Expected
#Dollar #USA #Economy
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

Most likely, it will all end up just being a freeze, as it has happened before. There will be some sort of middle ground compromise where Israeli forces, for example, will withdraw from most of Gaza, but may maintain a presence in a buffer zone to prevent new attacks by militants. The entire issue will be frozen under the pretext of restarting the negotiation process. I think this is the most realistic scenario right now. There will be a freeze in the war between Israel and Hamas.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Middle East
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

Some gas is being pumped through the Ukrainian gas transportation system... Nothing prevents Russia from simply stopping it. I think that is what will happen.
Expected
#Gas #Ukraine #Russia #Economy
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

She may not last as long in the prime minister's chair as many think. Liz Truss
Completely came true
#United Kingdom
ru → en