Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergey Guriyev

Economist (Russia, France)

Predictions
8
Verified
2
Came true
100%
Complex
0%
Confident
50%
Rating
6.07

Sergey Guriyev

Until Vladimir Putin returns all occupied territories and pays reparations... there will be no peace agreement. Peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Guriyev

Next week, Xi Jinping will most likely be elected for another term.
Completely came true
#China
ru → en

Sergey Guriyev

This will not happen... and as long as the war in Ukraine continues, these sanctions will not be lifted. About lifting of sanctions on Russia in exchange for the unblocking of the ports of Odesa for grain exports.
Completely came true
#Russia #Economy
ru → en

Sergey Guriyev

At some point, the war... will apparently turn into a protracted conflict... I don't think there is a possibility of a peace agreement; it is unlikely that Ukraine will agree to the loss of territories, and it is unlikely that Russia will agree to transfer Ukrainian lands to Ukraine
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Guriyev

Mobilization, even if it is announced, will not be successful... Putin will not be able to carry out a mass mobilization.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en