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#Hamas

Authors
21
Predictions
29
Verified
10
Came true
50%
Complex
70%
Confident
60%

Ezra Mor

Literally at this moment, a meeting between Netanyahu and Trump began at the White House. There will be a discussion of the plan for this deal, which is a 21-point deal. I believe Israel will agree... I sincerely don't believe that Hamas will agree to this deal.
Expected
#Hamas #Israel #Trump
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

The point is that Hamas represents the position of the majority of Palestinians, for whom the goal is the destruction of the Jewish state and the Jewish people, which is why this plan will not work. Trump's plan, which he laid out on September 29, 2025.
Expected
#Israel #Hamas #Trump
ru → en

Yulia Latynina

A full takeover of Gaza, a full annexation of Gaza will happen, and Hamas will cease to exist.
Expected
#Gaza #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Yuri Felshtinsky

I don't think this agreement will last for a long time. I believe there is skepticism about it even in Israel. Surprisingly, I think the Arab world is also skeptical about it. I believe there will, of course, be no peace in Israel.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas
ru → en

Iliya Kusa

Most likely, it will all end up just being a freeze, as it has happened before. There will be some sort of middle ground compromise where Israeli forces, for example, will withdraw from most of Gaza, but may maintain a presence in a buffer zone to prevent new attacks by militants. The entire issue will be frozen under the pretext of restarting the negotiation process. I think this is the most realistic scenario right now. There will be a freeze in the war between Israel and Hamas.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Gaza #Hamas #Middle East
ru → en

Yurii Romanenko

Hamas can significantly change the geopolitical landscape in this way if Israel does not completely defeat them. And I think it's unlikely that Israel will be able to completely destroy them, because it will require an operation that involves huge resources, and they will need to enter the Gaza Strip and clear everything out...
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Israel #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en

Mark Feygin

I think negotiations are underway regarding the hostages... I believe that this will not be successful. Hamas will not release these people. They will not release them.
Expected
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Arkady Babchenko

I believe that this time the existence of the Gaza Strip will be reduced to zero... There will be no more Gaza Strip... In what form, I do not know... There will be complete Israeli control, the Israeli army... there will be no autonomy there. I have no doubts that there will be no more Gaza Strip.
Expected
#Gaza #Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Israel
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected November 1, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en

Mark Feygin

The Israeli army has withdrawn... My cautious prediction is that the war will continue. Because Hamas certainly won't voluntarily lay down its weapons. Because that would mean losing power in the Gaza Strip.
Expected January 16, 2026
#Israel-Hamas war #Hamas #Gaza
ru → en