Predictions and promises monitor

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Garry Kasparov

World Chess Champion, politician (Russia, USA)

Predictions
13
Verified
6
Came true
83%
Complex
67%
Confident
50%
6.32

Garry Kasparov

The Kremlin’s very demand for negotiations with the legitimate Ukrainian government creates yet another closed loop. On one hand, the Americans agree to hold elections after a ceasefire. On the other hand, it is impossible to sign even a temporary ceasefire agreement with anyone other than Zelensky, and holding elections before a ceasefire is also not an option. This creates yet another kind of trap, from which I currently see no way out. Therefore, it is reasonable to assume that the war will continue for the next several months.
Completely came true June 3, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

Biden... is a lame duck... With him, his administration will leave. There will be no Sullivan, I am sure there will be no Burns, there will be no Blinken, and there will be no Austin.
Completely came true February 24, 2025
#USA
ru → en

Garry Kasparov

I believe that the war will end with Ukraine's victory this year. From my perspective, Ukraine's victory means the liberation of all Ukrainian territories, including Sevastopol.
Did not come true December 31, 2023
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en