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Answer to the question: Will there be a mobilization? My answer is: most likely, yes — because the generals are persistent people, and for Putin, Ukraine is the main enemy, something that must be destroyed. And as for the people, the National Guard and the valiant security services will take care of them.
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Taking Zaporizhzhia or taking Dnipro won’t work for the Russians — I’m saying that in advance. Because capturing a major city is an extremely complex operation, fraught with massive losses.
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Let’s imagine that Russian troops really do approach Zaporizhzhia and the battle for the city begins. Do you think the Armed Forces of Ukraine would leave those bridges across the Dnipro — I believe there are three of them — intact? In my view, the likelihood of that is zero.
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Over the past month, there’s been a kind of offensive stirring of Russian troops. And overall, it’s clear they’re probably planning to move toward Zaporizhzhia. Will it work? Only God knows. I think it won’t work out.
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The point of taking Pokrovsk would be to launch operations from there... if they ever manage to take it, which I highly doubt. The Russian army is unlikely to capture Pokrovsk.
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I also assume that this will happen, and it will most likely happen sooner or later. The answer to the question: 'Why doesn't the Armed Forces of Ukraine occupy the Glushkovsky district (of the Kursk region)?'
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No, I don't think so. Response to the question: 'Will Putin be able to convince Europe... NATO, the States... to achieve Minsk 3.0?'
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I think that the idea of storming Kharkiv or advancing towards Kyiv is not the most realistic idea. However, such an idea could be promoted by the Russian authorities as disinformation. There will not be a storming of Kharkiv by Russia.
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And such an operation, if it turns out to be successful, will indeed be successful. Because one special forces unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is enough to accomplish this task, which is the elimination of the Russian military presence, the Russian military grouping. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine want to, they will be able to eliminate the Russian military grouping in Transnistria.
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To be honest, I doubt that Putin will announce mobilization. What do you think, will mobilization be announced or will Putin avoid it again? (The second mobilization in Russia)
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Yes, we assume so. That the third defeat for Russia (after the de-occupation of the Kharkiv region and Kherson) will be Melitopol.
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I think that a confrontation with NATO will end very badly for Russia.
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The first direction is Kharkiv. Of course, the city will not be taken.
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No, I don't think there will be a Serbian-Kosovo war... The Serbs really want to join the European Union
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Taking this city is certainly impossible. For the Russian army to take Mykolaiv.
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I think it will end; I am confident it will end with a victory for Ukraine.
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Russian forces clearly will not be able to cross the Dnipro. This operation is too difficult for them.
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There will be no ceasefire before the beginning of summer. Putin does not want this.
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If the pace of the offensive does not change—and, generally speaking, I personally see no reason to believe it will, referring to the Russian offensive—then, in the foreseeable future, meaning within a few months, it is clear that Putin will not achieve one of his most politically significant goals. In the coming months, the Russian army will not push the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of the Kursk region.
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