Predictions and promises monitor

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Yuri Fedorov

Military expert (Russia, Czech Republic)

Predictions
25
Verified
10
Came true
70%
Complex
30%
Confident
30%
Rating
5.7

Yuri Fedorov

Honestly, I don’t think there will be permission. In response to the question: "What do you think will happen with the permission regarding long-range missiles?" (Will the U.S. grant permission for Ukraine to use long-range missiles on Russian territory?)
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #USA
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Now these explosions of pagers and other devices. I think it's not a coincidence that they happened... the fact that they occurred indicates that the war is about to start in earnest. The war between Israel and Hezbollah.
Expected
#Israel #Hezbollah #Lebanon
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

The point of taking Pokrovsk would be to launch operations from there... if they ever manage to take it, which I highly doubt. The Russian army is unlikely to capture Pokrovsk.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I also assume that this will happen, and it will most likely happen sooner or later. The answer to the question: 'Why doesn't the Armed Forces of Ukraine occupy the Glushkovsky district (of the Kursk region)?'
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I think that the idea of storming Kharkiv or advancing towards Kyiv is not the most realistic idea. However, such an idea could be promoted by the Russian authorities as disinformation. There will not be a storming of Kharkiv by Russia.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

And such an operation, if it turns out to be successful, will indeed be successful. Because one special forces unit of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is enough to accomplish this task, which is the elimination of the Russian military presence, the Russian military grouping. If the Armed Forces of Ukraine want to, they will be able to eliminate the Russian military grouping in Transnistria.
Expected
#Ukraine #Russia #War in Ukraine #Moldova
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

To be honest, I doubt that Putin will announce mobilization. What do you think, will mobilization be announced or will Putin avoid it again? (The second mobilization in Russia)
Expected
#Russia #Putin #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Yes, we assume so. That the third defeat for Russia (after the de-occupation of the Kharkiv region and Kherson) will be Melitopol.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

I think that a confrontation with NATO will end very badly for Russia.
Expected
#Russia #NATO
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

No, I don't think there will be a Serbian-Kosovo war... The Serbs really want to join the European Union
Expected
#Serbia #Kosovo
ru → en

Yuri Fedorov

Until the end of the autumn campaign, which is about a month from now, Russian forces will likely continue advancing. It appears that a significant part of the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) will be pushed out of the Kursk region, although perhaps not completely. At least, all recent trends seem to point in this direction.
Expected November 30, 2024
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en