Predictions and promises monitor

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Konstantin Sonin

Economist (Russia)

Predictions
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Konstantin Sonin

It seems to me that expecting something similar to 2021, when there were indeed protests in Washington that ended with the storming of the Capitol and led to the loss of lives, is unlikely. I wouldn’t expect such protests, primarily because, in 2021, the election results were being contested by the sitting president.
Expected
#2024 United States presidential election #USA #Elections
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

I am confident that Russia will, for many years—decades even—have to pay compensation for the destroyed Ukrainian cities, industries, and energy systems, and will have to make significant concessions to return to international trade and cooperate with other countries, at least partially. This will happen under any American administration, there’s no doubt about it.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

I am confident that Russia will have to withdraw its troops from the occupied territories of Ukraine... This will happen under any American administration, there’s no doubt about it.
Expected
#Russia #Ukraine #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Konstantin Sonin

I find it hard to imagine that Putin and the Putin regime will last more than two years. I think it will be something akin to the collapse of the regime of Nicholas II.
Expected
#Russia #Putin
ru → en