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Predictions and promises monitor

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#Lebanon

Authors
14
Predictions
14
Verified
6
Came true
67%
Complex
83%
Confident
33%

Ezra Mor

There won’t be another Lebanon war because this is the last Lebanon war. The war between Israel and Lebanon.
Expected
#Israel #Lebanon
ru → en

Maksim Shevchenko

There is no attack and there will not be one. I believe it would be catastrophic for Israel, and Israel knows this too; there are not foolish people there. Answer to the question: "Do you not believe in the start of a ground operation at all?" (Israel against Hezbollah in Lebanon).
Expected
#Israel #Hezbollah #Lebanon
ru → en

Mikhail Krutikhin

I don't think that Hezbollah will recover from this blow. From the elimination by Israel of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and other important figures and targets.
Expected
#Hezbollah #Lebanon #Israel
ru → en

Yevgenia Albats

It’s clear that years of war lie ahead. And how happy Putin must be that there’s less and less written about how he’s killing people in Ukraine, and all the attention is once again focused on the Middle East.
Expected December 31, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Iran #Gaza #Lebanon
ru → en

Vitaly Portnikov

Our goal is that by November 2028, when we are discussing the potential winner of the U.S. presidential election, we should have at least a 20 percent chance that this winner will not be dealing with ending the Russia-Ukraine war. It's quite possible that by then, we will still be addressing the issue of ending the Russia-Ukraine war. I believe, however, that the war in the Middle East will end sooner. The war in the Middle East will end before 2028.
Expected November 1, 2028
#Middle East #Israel #Gaza #Iran #Lebanon #Hamas #Hezbollah #Israel-Hamas war
ru → en