I think that sooner or later a warrant for Lukashenko will appear, if not for this case, then for something else. Lukashenko has done so many things that a warrant is inevitable.
An ICC warrant.
Putin's Russia will collapse, but the question is when. It could fall apart tomorrow, or it could take another 15 years. We simply don't have a clear answer on when exactly this will happen.
A good Russian is Vladimir Kara-Murza, whom I consider my friend, and who openly spoke out against the war. For this, he is currently in prison, and it is clear that he will never be released under Putin.
