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Sergey Grabskiy

Military expert (Ukraine)

Predictions
17
Verified
6
Came true
100%
Complex
50%
Confident
83%
7.32

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely. I fully agree with this statement. In response to: "And if anyone thinks they can bring Putin to the negotiating table in the sense we understand it, that will never happen"
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia #Putin
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, even 10 Oreshnik missiles, despite a strong desire to strike decision-making centers, are unlikely to reach their targets. Referring to decision-making centers in Ukraine.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

I categorically rule out... I deny and exclude the possibility of creating nuclear weapons on the territory of Ukraine, including so-called dirty bombs.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Ukraine can afford the luxury of launching hundreds, or even two hundred, drone strikes overnight. Our geography is vast, and there is plenty to destroy. We won’t just sit around dreaming of Tomahawks. Ukraine is already accomplishing these tasks today. In my hometown of Feodosia, an oil products base, which is very important, was blown up today. With these small tactical but significant steps, we are moving closer to our victory. My task is to assure you that victory will be ours; everything will be alright.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

We are closely monitoring the situation in Belarus. Ukraine will not interfere. This is the task of the Belarusian people. There will be no invasion of Ukraine into the territory of Belarus
Expected
#Ukraine #Belarus #War in Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Will we be able to hold it? Right now, I can say with a high degree of confidence that yes, we can hold Pokrovsk. But it’s a matter of time.
Expected December 31, 2026
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Therefore, it's not appropriate to say that we are seriously considering the possibility of an offensive in the Sumy or Kharkiv direction today or in the near future. Speaking about a potential Russian offensive.
Expected August 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

From my personal experience communicating with Americans, I get the impression that the U.S. elections will in no way affect the level of combat activity in Ukraine.
Expected June 30, 2025
#War in Ukraine #USA #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

We all understand perfectly well that no matter how much Donald Trump may wish it, if certain objectives are not achieved — and they won’t be — we can say this: until May 9th, there’s no point in even opening our mouths or thinking that any kind of ceasefire might happen.
Expected May 9, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en

Sergey Grabskiy

Absolutely not. Absolutely not, because with the current pace of advance that we’re seeing, I virtually rule out such a possibility in the near future—at least for the next six months. In response to the question: "Could there be a threat to any regional centers in Ukraine?" (Will the Russian army be able to take any regional centers in Ukraine?)
Expected May 4, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en