Predictions and promises monitor

| About

Yigal Levin

Military expert, officer, author of the eponymous Telegram channel (Israel)

Predictions
24
Verified
13
Came true
92%
Complex
62%
Confident
77%
7.75

Yigal Levin

Trump commented on his recent conversation with the Danish Prime Minister and noted that he is confident the United States will eventually acquire Greenland. I think this will indeed happen. The U.S. has not expanded for over half a century because those decades were consumed by the confrontation with the socialist bloc, where everything teetered on the brink of the Cold War escalating into not just a hot war, but a nuclear one.
Expected
#Greenland #USA #Denmark #Trump
ru → en

Yigal Levin

Returning to Kyiv, surrounding it, and occupying it – no, this requires enormous forces, hundreds of thousands of people, and they do not have hundreds of thousands of people. On the prospects of a renewed deployment of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to Kyiv.
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Russia #Ukraine
ru → en

Yigal Levin

No, I also don't believe that nuclear weapons will be used. The probability is extremely low. About the use of nuclear weapons by Russia.
Expected
#Nuclear weapons #Russia
ru → en

Yigal Levin

I think that in the end he will be drawn into the war; the chances are not high right now, meaning it won't happen tomorrow. Answer to the question: "Will Lukashenko wriggle out of it this time?"
Expected
#Lukashenko #Belarus
ru → en

Yigal Levin

Let me remind you that it is forbidden to kill people anywhere, in any state, even in diametrically opposed ones. Whether it's North Korea or France, in both places, killing is forbidden, and the state will come for you if you decide to do such a thing. Not even all states can kill—the death penalty doesn't exist everywhere. A soldier, however, is the only person to whom international humanitarian law gives an official mandate to kill. A soldier has the right to kill; moreover, it's expected of him by the authorities (as is his readiness to die). That is to say, wars are legal ways of disposing of large masses of unwanted people, which Putin has now empirically proven. If AI isn't artificially slowed down, then it's likely that before the end of this century, there will be a whole series of large and deadly conflicts. Ideally, elites want to create permanent points of conflict and tension—regions of controlled instability. In them, troublemakers, the destitute, the displaced, the unemployed, those who don't fit into the economy, and so on can be dumped and disposed of.
Expected December 31, 2099
ru → en

Yigal Levin

It's not hard to guess that with such rapid and all-encompassing AI development, an era of large-scale, mass wars will also arrive.
Expected July 24, 2035
ru → en

Yigal Levin

There will probably be an operation to overthrow Maduro.
Expected February 10, 2026
#Venezuela #USA
ru → en

Yigal Levin

And in 2025, it will still be happening. Because there are a lot of Russians. The war in Ukraine will continue in 2025.
Expected December 31, 2025
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en