Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergey Smirnov

Journalist, editor-in-chief of the publication Mediazona (Russia)

Predictions
22
Verified
2
Came true
50%
Complex
50%
Confident
0%
5.21

Sergey Smirnov

Bet! I don't think you'll face criminal charges by New Year's. Dmitry Treshchanin won't have a criminal case opened against him before New Year's.
Expected December 31, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

If the Iranian regime remains, especially after this war, will it not try to strengthen its potential? Will it not try to acquire a nuclear bomb again? That is why I believe the best option is, of course, a change of regime in Iran. But that does not seem possible yet.
Expected December 28, 2025
#Iran
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

There’s a very unpleasant detail — depending on the type of penal colony, the days spent under house arrest don’t count toward the future sentence if it turns out to be a real prison term. And I believe Shlosberg will get a real sentence. Simply because it’s Pskov — people there are fed up with him. We can see how biased the attitude toward him is, specifically in Pskov.
Expected December 11, 2025
#Russia
ru → en

Sergey Smirnov

Well, I understand that in any case, Mamdani will win. Mamdani will win.
Expected November 5, 2025
#USA #Elections
ru → en