Predictions and promises monitor

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Sergey Guriyev

Economist (Russia, France)

Predictions
8
Verified
2
Came true
100%
Complex
0%
Confident
50%
Rating
6.07

Sergey Guriyev

Mobilization, even if it is announced, will not be successful... Putin will not be able to carry out a mass mobilization.
Expected
#Russia
ru → en

Sergey Guriyev

Until Vladimir Putin returns all occupied territories and pays reparations... there will be no peace agreement. Peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine.
Expected
#Russia #War in Ukraine #Ukraine
ru → en

Sergey Guriyev

At some point, the war... will apparently turn into a protracted conflict... I don't think there is a possibility of a peace agreement; it is unlikely that Ukraine will agree to the loss of territories, and it is unlikely that Russia will agree to transfer Ukrainian lands to Ukraine
Expected
#War in Ukraine #Ukraine #Russia
ru → en